Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies: Best Odds and Preview for September 11, 2021

By BestOdds Analyst | September 10, 2021, 11:45 pm

Booksmakers give the Philadelphia Phillies (71-70) the edge (-190 moneyline odds) to halt their four-game losing streak when they meet the Colorado Rockies (65-77) (+160 moneyline odds) on Saturday at 6:05 PM ET.

Philadelphia’s Zack Wheeler and Colorado’s Kyle Freeland will start this matchup.

Best Odds for Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and Colorado Rockies.

Phillies Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Phillies have been chosen as favorites in 76 games this year and have walked away with the win 38 times (50%) in those games.
  • Philadelphia and their opponents have hit the over in 71 of their 141 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Phillies rank 12th in the league with 641 total runs scored this season.
  • Philadelphia has competed as the favorite in six of its past 10 games and has gone 2-4 in those matchups.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on six occasions.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Wheeler gets the start for the Phillies, his 29th of the season. He is 12-9 with a 2.91 ERA and 217 strikeouts over 188 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s most recent appearance was on Monday against the Brewers, when he threw six scoreless innings while giving up five hits.
  • Wheeler’s team has won 16 of his 28 starts.
  • Wheeler has started 28 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 12 of them.

Key Players

Bryce Harper 120 .304 .407 .599 30 70 128
Matt Vierling 15 .385 .429 .538 0 2 10
Jean Segura 113 .295 .354 .439 11 49 130
Brad Miller 120 .229 .319 .457 17 43 64
J.T. Realmuto 113 .259 .341 .432 14 59 105
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000

Rockies Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Rockies have gone 39-65 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 37.5% of those games).
  • Colorado has played in 142 games with a set over/under, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 60 times (60-79-3).
  • The Rockies are the 11th-highest scoring team in baseball averaging 4.6 runs per game (653 total).
  • Colorado has a 4-5 record across the nine games it was the underdog on the moneyline in its last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Rockies combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total five times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Freeland (5-7) gets the starting nod for the Rockies in his 20th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.69 ERA in 96 innings pitched, with 87 strikeouts.
  • In his last outing on Monday against the Giants, the lefty went 4 1/3 innings, giving up seven earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
  • Freeland’s team is 10-9 in his 19 starts.
  • Freeland has started 19 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in six of them.

Key Players

C.J. Cron 123 .274 .369 .539 27 82 110
Trevor Story 125 .251 .327 .474 20 67 115
Brendan Rodgers 83 .280 .331 .456 11 40 86
Ryan McMahon 132 .256 .326 .457 22 72 119
Elias Díaz 92 .233 .303 .466 17 39 68

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