Penn State vs. Michigan: Best Odds and College Football Preview for 11/13/2021


By Dan Watson | November 7, 2021, 8:38 pm

The No. 23 Penn State Nittany Lions (6-3, 0-0 Big Ten), with the country’s 10th-ranked scoring defense, square off versus the No. 9 Michigan Wolverines (8-1, 0-0 Big Ten) and their sixth-ranked defense on Saturday, November 13, 2021. This one is a pick ’em according to bookmakers. The game has an over/under of 48 points.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Penn State stats and betting info

Betting trends for Penn State

  • Penn State’s ATS record is 6-3-0 this season.
  • The Nittany Lions have a 4-2 record against the spread this season when favored by 0 points or more.
  • In Penn State’s nine games with a set total, two have hit the over (22.2%).
  • This season, Penn State games have hit the over on this matchup’s 48-point total four times.
  • The Nittany Lions have seen a 52.4 average over/under in their games this season, 4.4 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
  • The Nittany Lions average 385.2 yards per game, 87.1 more yards than the 298.1 the Wolverines allow per matchup.
  • Penn State is 5-1 overall when the team amasses more than 298.1 yards.
  • The Nittany Lions have 10 giveaways this season, while the Wolverines have 13 takeaways .
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 277.7 (2499) 25
Rush yards 107.6 (968) 117
Points scored 27.0 (243) 78
Pass yards against 213.6 (1922) 45
Rush yards against 137.1 (1234) 48
Points allowed 16.7 (150) 10

Key players for Penn State

  • Sean Clifford has thrown for 2,371 yards (263.4 ypg) to lead Penn State, completing 64% of his passes and collecting 16 touchdown passes and six interceptions this season. He’s also figured in the ground game with 130 rushing yards (14.4 ypg) on 60 carries with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Noah Cain’s team-high 293 rushing yards (32.6 per game) have come on 93 carries, with four touchdowns this year.
  • Jahan Dotson’s 932 receiving yards (103.6 yards per game) pace all receivers on the team. He’s registered 71 receptions and nine touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.3
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Michigan stats and betting info

Betting trends for Michigan

  • Michigan is 7-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • When they have played as at least 0-point underdogs this year, the Wolverines are 1-0 against the spread.
  • The teams have hit the over in four of Michigan’s nine games with a set total .
  • This season, five of Michigan’s games have ended with a score higher than 48 points.
  • A difference of 3.7 points separates the average total points bet in Wolverines’ games (51.7 points) and this contest’s over/under (48 points).
  • The Wolverines rack up 100.7 more yards per game (451.4) than the Nittany Lions allow per contest (350.7).
  • Michigan is 7-1 overall when the team piles up over 350.7 yards.
  • This season the Wolverines have seven turnovers, nine fewer than the Nittany Lions have takeaways (16).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 217.3 (1956) 81
Rush yards 234.1 (2107) 7
Points scored 36.2 (326) 22
Pass yards against 173.4 (1561) 8
Rush yards against 124.7 (1122) 30
Points allowed 16.0 (144) 6

Key players for Michigan

  • Cade McNamara has thrown for 1,666 yards (185.1 ypg) to lead Michigan, completing 62.5% of his passes and collecting nine touchdown passes and two interceptions this season.
  • Hassan Haskins has carried the ball 165 times for a team-high 829 yards (92.1 per game), with 11 touchdowns this year.
  • Cornelius Johnson’s team-high 456 receiving yards (50.7 yards per game) have come on 28 receptions with three touchdowns.

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