Northwestern vs. Illinois Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 13 Predictions


By Dan Watson | November 22, 2021, 12:39 am

The Illinois Fighting Illini (4-7, 0-0 Big Ten) and Northwestern Wildcats (3-8, 0-0 Big Ten) square off with the Land of Lincoln Trophy at stake on Saturday, November 27, 2021 at Memorial Stadium. The Fighting Illini are favored by 6.5 points in this one. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 42.5.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Illinois stats and betting info

Betting trends for Illinois

  • Illinois has a 6-5-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Fighting Illini have not yet covered the spread as favorites of 6.5 points or more this season (0-2).
  • Illinois has gone over in three of its 11 games with a set total (27.3%).
  • Illinois and its opponents have hit the over on this game’s total (42.5 points) four times this season.
  • This season, the average total for Fighting Illini games is 49.5 points, 7.0 more than the over/under of 42.5 points for this contest.
  • The Fighting Illini rack up 111.8 fewer yards per game (315.0), than the Wildcats give up per outing (426.8).
  • The Fighting Illini have 11 giveaways this season, while the Wildcats have 15 takeaways .
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 148.4 (1632) 122
Rush yards 166.6 (1833) 62
Points scored 17.7 (195) 121
Pass yards against 223.5 (2459) 58
Rush yards against 154.1 (1695) 71
Points allowed 22.6 (249) 41

Key players for Illinois

  • Brandon Peters leads Illinois with 928 passing yards (84.4 ypg) on 77-of-146 passing with six touchdowns compared to three interceptions this season.
  • The team’s top rusher, Chase Brown, has carried the ball 157 times for 896 yards (81.5 per game), with four touchdowns this year.
  • Isaiah Williams’ team-high 412 receiving yards (37.5 yards per game) have come on 40 receptions with three touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.3
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Northwestern stats and betting info

Betting trends for Northwestern

  • So far this year, Northwestern has put together a 3-8-0 record against the spread.
  • When they have played as at least 6.5-point underdogs this year, the Wildcats are 1-5 against the spread.
  • Out of Northwestern’s 11 games with a set total, five have hit the over (45.5%).
  • This season, five games Northwestern played finished with a combined score over 42.5 points.
  • The over/under for this contest is 3.8 points fewer than the average over/under in Wildcats’ games this season (46.3 points).
  • The Wildcats rack up 328.8 yards per game, 48.8 fewer yards than the 377.6 the Fighting Illini give up.
  • In games that Northwestern amasses over 377.6 yards, the team is 2-2.
  • The Wildcats have turned the ball over five more times (20 total) than the Fighting Illini have forced a turnover (15) this season.
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 182.3 (2005) 110
Rush yards 146.5 (1612) 81
Points scored 16.8 (185) 124
Pass yards against 214.2 (2356) 48
Rush yards against 212.6 (2339) 118
Points allowed 27.4 (301) 76

Key players for Northwestern

  • Ryan Hilinski has thrown for 855 yards (77.7 ypg) to lead Northwestern, completing 54.2% of his passes and recording three touchdown passes and three interceptions this season.
  • Evan Hull’s team-high 908 rushing yards (82.5 per game) have come on 164 carries, with six touchdowns this year. He’s also added 249 yards (22.6 per game) on 31 catches with two touchdowns.
  • Stephon Robinson Jr.’s 622 receiving yards (56.5 yards per game) pace all receivers on the team. He’s collected 45 receptions and two touchdowns.

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