North Carolina vs. NC State Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 13 Predictions


By Dan Watson | November 21, 2021, 4:43 pm

The No. 24 NC State Wolf Pack (8-3, 0-0 ACC) bring the No. 13 scoring defense in college football into a contest versus the North Carolina Tar Heels (6-5, 0-0 ACC), featuring the No. 14 offense, on Friday, November 26, 2021. The Wolf Pack are 6.5-point favorites. The matchup has an over/under of 63.5 points.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

NC State stats and betting info

Betting trends for NC State

  • NC State has gone 7-4-0 ATS this season.
  • The Wolf Pack have a 3-1 record against the spread in games they were favored by 6.5 points or more this season.
  • NC State has gone over in six of its 11 games with a set total (54.5%).
  • NC State and its opponents have combined to go over Friday’s over/under of 63.5 points just once this season.
  • On average, the over/under in Wolf Pack games is 9.3 points fewer than the over/under of 63.5 points in this contest.
  • The Wolf Pack rack up 419.4 yards per game, just 7.2 more than the 412.2 the Tar Heels give up per contest.
  • In games that NC State picks up over 412.2 yards, the team is 3-2 overall.
  • The Wolf Pack have turned the ball over 10 times this season, four fewer than the Tar Heels have forced (14).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 292.2 (3214) 19
Rush yards 127.2 (1399) 99
Points scored 33.0 (363) 31
Pass yards against 213.1 (2344) 46
Rush yards against 108.3 (1191) 17
Points allowed 18.7 (206) 13

Key players for NC State

  • Devin Leary leads NC State with 3,186 passing yards (289.6 ypg) on 264-of-401 passing with 31 touchdowns compared to five interceptions this season.
  • Zonovan Knight has carried the ball 131 times for a team-high 684 yards (62.2 per game), with three touchdowns this year.
  • Emeka Emezie’s team-high 690 receiving yards (62.7 yards per game) have come on 55 receptions with four touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.3
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North Carolina stats and betting info

Betting trends for North Carolina

  • So far this season, North Carolina has compiled a 4-7-0 record against the spread.
  • The Tar Heels are 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 6.5 points or greater this season.
  • The teams have hit the over in six of North Carolina’s 11 games with a set total .
  • There have been six North Carolina games that have ended with a combined score over 63.5 points this season.
  • The over/under for this game is 3.7 points fewer than the average over/under in Tar Heels’ games this season (67.2 points).
  • The Tar Heels average 161.5 more yards per game (482.9) than the Wolf Pack give up per outing (321.4).
  • When North Carolina piles up over 321.4 yards, the team is 6-5.
  • The Tar Heels have 13 giveaways this season, while the Wolf Pack have 14 takeaways .
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 270.2 (2972) 26
Rush yards 212.7 (2340) 19
Points scored 37.0 (407) 14
Pass yards against 236.8 (2605) 81
Rush yards against 175.4 (1929) 99
Points allowed 31.4 (345) 98

Key players for North Carolina

  • Sam Howell has thrown for 2,704 yards (245.8 ypg) to lead North Carolina, completing 63.5% of his passes and tossing 22 touchdown passes and eight interceptions this season. He’s also run for 727 yards (66.1 ypg) on 152 carries with nine rushing touchdowns.
  • Ty Chandler’s team-high 1,004 rushing yards (91.3 per game) have come on 167 carries, with 13 touchdowns this year. He’s also tacked on 13 catches for 208 yards (18.9 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Josh Downs’ 1,198 receiving yards (108.9 yards per game) lead all receivers on the team. He’s totaled 90 receptions and eight touchdowns.

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