New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: Best Odds and Preview for September 29, 2021

By BestOdds Analyst | September 28, 2021, 11:46 pm

Two of the league’s best sluggers go head-to-head when the New York Yankees (90-67) and the Toronto Blue Jays (87-70) meet at 7:07 PM ET on Wednesday at Rogers Centre. Aaron Judge has 37 home runs (seventh in the league) for the favored Yankees (-119), and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks second in MLB play with 46 long balls this season for the Blue Jays (+101).

New York’s Gerrit Cole gets the start against Toronto’s Jose Berrios.

Best Odds for New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays.

Yankees Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have been favorites in 129 games this season and have come away with the win 74 times (57.4%) in those contests.
  • Contests with New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 67 of 157 chances this season.
  • The Yankees rank 18th in the league with 694 total runs scored this season.
  • In eight games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, New York has a record of 6-2.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Yankees and their opponents are 4-4-2 in their last 10 games.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Cole (16-8) gets the starting nod for the Yankees in his 30th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.08 ERA in 175 1/3 innings pitched, with 237 strikeouts.
  • In his last appearance on Friday, the righty threw six innings against the Red Sox, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • Cole’s team has won 16 of his 29 starts.
  • Cole has had 29 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 13 of those matchups hit the over.

Key Players

Aaron Judge 143 .287 .372 .540 37 94 153
Giancarlo Stanton 134 .278 .358 .527 35 96 137
Joey Gallo 95 .223 .372 .490 25 55 69
Anthony Rizzo 92 .248 .342 .446 14 40 80
Anthony Rizzo 44 .258 .350 .419 6 19 40
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000

Blue Jays Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Blue Jays have been the moneyline underdog 51 total times this season. They’ve finished 27-24 in those games.
  • Toronto has had an over/under set by oddsmakers 157 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 68 of those games (68-84-5).
  • The Blue Jays are the third-highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 5.2 runs per game (810 total).
  • Over the last 10 games, Toronto was listed as the moneyline underdog by oddsmakers only once, a game it lost.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Blue Jays combined with their opponents to go over the run total one time.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Berrios (5-4) takes the mound first for the Blue Jays in his 12th start of the season. He has a 3.50 ERA in 64 1/3 innings pitched, with 71 strikeouts.
  • His most recent time out was on Saturday against the Twins, when the right-hander tossed six innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Berrios’ team has compiled a 5-6 record in his 11 starts.
  • Berrios’ starts went over the run total four times in 11 games with a set total this season.

Key Players

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 156 .313 .398 .598 46 105 183
Teoscar Hernández 137 .300 .349 .530 31 112 159
Marcus Semien 157 .267 .338 .541 43 99 168
George Springer 73 .239 .332 .511 19 40 66
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 138 .283 .324 .477 21 84 138

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