New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: Best Odds and Preview for October 2, 2021

By BestOdds Analyst | October 1, 2021, 11:45 pm

The Tampa Bay Rays (99-61) are moneyline underdogs (+130) to secure their 100th victory of the season when they square off against the New York Yankees (91-69) (who are -150 on the moneyline) at Yankee Stadium on Saturday at 1:05 PM ET.

New York’s Jordan Montgomery starts against Tampa Bay’s Shane Baz.

Best Odds for New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays.

Yankees Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have been chosen as favorites in 131 games this year and have walked away with the win 74 times (56.5%) in those games.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 68 of their 160 opportunities.
  • The Yankees have scored the 19th-most runs in the league this season with 708 (4.4 per game).
  • In seven games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, New York has a record of 5-2.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on three occasions.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Montgomery gets the start for the Yankees, his 30th of the season. He is 6-6 with a 3.49 ERA and 159 strikeouts in 154 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Sunday, the lefty threw five innings against the Red Sox, giving up one earned run while surrendering seven hits.
  • In Montgomery’s 29 starts, his team is 17-12.
  • Montgomery has started 29 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in eight of them.

Key Players

Aaron Judge 146 .287 .373 .547 39 97 156
Giancarlo Stanton 137 .276 .358 .523 35 97 139
Joey Gallo 95 .223 .379 .490 25 55 69
Anthony Rizzo 92 .248 .346 .446 14 40 80
Anthony Rizzo 47 .246 .333 .413 7 20 41
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000

Rays Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Rays have been the underdog on the moneyline 55 total times this season. They’ve finished 31-24 in those games.
  • Tampa Bay has had an over/under set by bookmakers 158 times, and has combined with opponents to go over the total in 80 of those games (80-70-8).
  • The Rays are the highest scoring team in MLB action averaging 5.3 runs per game (845 total).
  • Tampa Bay has a 3-2 record across the five games it was moneyline underdogs in its last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Rays combined with their opponents to go over the run total two times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Rays will look to Baz (2-0) to open the game and make his third start of the season.
  • The righty last pitched on Sunday against the Marlins, when he tossed 5 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
  • His team has won both of the games he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Baz’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1 against the total.

Key Players

Nelson Cruz 85 .294 .370 .537 19 50 87
Mike Zunino 103 .213 .301 .556 32 61 69
Brandon Lowe 147 .243 .338 .508 36 92 128
Wander Franco 68 .284 .346 .465 7 38 77
Randy Arozarena 139 .271 .352 .457 20 69 141

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