New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays: Best Odds and Preview for October 1, 2021

By BestOdds Analyst | September 30, 2021, 10:45 pm

Aaron Judge needs just one more homer to have 40 on the season, and will try to hit that milestone when his New York Yankees (91-68) host the Tampa Bay Rays (98-61) at Yankee Stadium on Friday, beginning at 7:05 PM ET. Judge’s Yankees are favored (-120) in the outing against the Rays (+100).

New York has Nestor Cortes Jr. starting things off, and Tampa Bay will counter with Shane McClanahan.

Best Odds for New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays.

Yankees Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have come away with 74 wins in the 130 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
  • New York and their opponents have gone over in 68 of their 159 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Yankees have scored the 18th-most runs in the league this season with 699 (4.4 per game).
  • In seven games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, New York has a record of 5-2.
  • When it comes to the total, the Yankees and their foes are 4-4-2 in their previous 10 contests.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Yankees are sending Cortes (2-2) to the mound for his 14th start of the season. He is 2-2 with a 2.85 ERA and 98 strikeouts through 88 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Saturday against the Red Sox, the lefty went 4 1/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • In Cortes’ 13 starts, his team is 10-3.
  • Cortes has had 13 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined go over the total in three of those outings.

Key Players

Aaron Judge 145 .288 .374 .549 39 97 155
Giancarlo Stanton 136 .275 .357 .521 35 96 137
Joey Gallo 95 .223 .379 .490 25 55 69
Anthony Rizzo 92 .248 .346 .446 14 40 80
Anthony Rizzo 46 .252 .340 .423 7 20 41
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000

Rays Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Rays have won 30 of the 54 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (55.6%).
  • Tampa Bay has combined with opponents to go over the total 80 times this season for an 80-69-8 record against the over/under.
  • The Rays have the most productive offense in baseball scoring 5.3 runs per game (841 total runs).
  • Tampa Bay has a 2-2 record from the four games it was the underdog on the moneyline over its last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Rays and their opponents combined to hit the over two times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Rays will send McClanahan (10-6) to make his 25th start of the season. He is 10-6 with a 3.44 ERA and 138 strikeouts in 120 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance came on Saturday against the Marlins, when the lefty threw five innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing six hits.
  • McClanahan’s team has won 14 of his 24 starts.
  • McClanahan has had 24 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in nine of those outings.

Key Players

Nelson Cruz 85 .294 .370 .537 19 50 87
Mike Zunino 103 .213 .301 .556 32 61 69
Brandon Lowe 147 .243 .338 .508 36 92 128
Wander Franco 67 .286 .348 .470 7 36 76
Randy Arozarena 138 .273 .353 .460 20 69 141

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