New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: Best Odds and Preview for September 12, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | September 11, 2021, 7:46 pm

The New York Mets (71-71) will look to keep a six-game home win streak alive when they host the New York Yankees (78-63) on Sunday at 8:08 PM ET. The Mets are not projected (-105) to prolong the streak when they take on the favored Yankees (-115).

The Mets have Carlos Carrasco expected to start, while the Yankees have not named a starting pitcher.

Best Odds for New York Yankees vs New York Mets

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the New York Yankees and New York Mets.

Yankees Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Yankees have been chosen as favorites in 116 games this year and have walked away with the win 64 times (55.2%) in those games.
  • The Yankees and their opponents have hit the over in 60 of their 141 games with a total this season.
  • The Yankees have scored the 21st-most runs in the league this season with 605 (4.3 per game).
  • The Yankees have been named the favorite in 10 of their past 10 games and won two of those matchups.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Yankees and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on four occasions.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Aaron Judge 127 .292 .375 .525 30 76 139
Joey Gallo 95 .223 .372 .490 25 55 69
Giancarlo Stanton 118 .268 .356 .485 26 73 115
Anthony Rizzo 29 .264 .339 .472 6 17 28
Anthony Rizzo 92 .248 .342 .446 14 40 80
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Mets Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Mets have won 36.8% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (21-36).
  • The Mets have combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total 58 times this season for a 58-76-8 record against the over/under.
  • The Mets are the fourth-lowest scoring team in baseball averaging 3.9 runs per game (559 total).
  • Over the last 10 games, the Mets were named the moneyline underdog by bookmakers just once, a game they won.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Carrasco gets the start for the Mets, his ninth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 5.88 ERA and 32 strikeouts in 33 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Tuesday, the right-hander went five innings against the Marlins, giving up one earned run while surrendering seven hits.
  • Carrasco’s team has put together a 4-4 record in his eight starts.
  • Carrasco has started eight games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Javier Báez 29 .291 .348 .563 7 15 30
Pete Alonso 132 .265 .337 .522 32 85 129
J.D. Davis 63 .293 .389 .451 5 22 48
Jonathan Villar 122 .264 .335 .456 18 40 102
Javier Báez 91 .248 .290 .484 22 65 83

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