New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: Best Odds and Preview for September 28, 2021

By BestOdds Analyst | September 26, 2021, 6:46 pm

Francisco Lindor will look for his 100th hit of the season (he has 97) when the New York Mets (73-82) take on the Miami Marlins (64-91) on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET. The Mets are favored (-187) over the Marlins (+160).

New York has Trevor Williams expected to start, while Miami has not named a starting pitcher.

Best Odds for New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins in which the Mets are currently the clear pick among bettors at regulated sportsbooks to claim victory.

Mets vs Marlins Moneyline Action

Mets vs Marlins Moneyline Action
Mets Marlins
% of Bets 94% 6%
% of Stake 75% 25%

Mets Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Mets have come away with 52 wins in the 89 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
  • New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 65 of their 155 opportunities.
  • The Mets have scored the fourth-fewest runs in the league this season with just 606 (3.9 per game).
  • In three games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, New York has a record of 1-2.
  • When it comes to the total, the Mets and their foes are 5-5 in their last 10 contests.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Mets are sending Williams (0-0) to make his fourth start of the season. He is 0-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 18 strikeouts through 23 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out was out of the bullpen on Wednesday when the righty tossed four innings against the Red Sox, surrendering four earned runs while giving up eight hits.
  • Williams’ team has a 2-2 record in his starts this season.
  • Williams’ starts with a set total this season have hit the over in one of four contests.

Key Players

Javier Báez 42 .309 .376 .544 9 22 46
Pete Alonso 145 .256 .333 .510 35 89 137
Brandon Nimmo 84 .301 .411 .428 6 24 90
Javier Báez 91 .248 .290 .484 22 65 83
Jonathan Villar 135 .249 .320 .420 18 40 108
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000

Marlins Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have won 34.6% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (36-68).
  • Miami has played in 155 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 69 times (69-75-11).
  • The Marlins are the fourth-lowest scoring team in MLB action averaging 3.9 runs per game (606 total).
  • Miami was the moneyline underdog for four of its last 10 games, and finished 1-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Marlins and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Nick Fortes 8 .421 .500 .895 3 5 8
Bryan De La Cruz 49 .314 .373 .463 5 19 55
Jesús Sánchez 60 .251 .311 .488 13 35 54
Jazz Chisholm 117 .251 .304 .431 17 49 110
Miguel Rojas 127 .267 .324 .399 9 46 128

Pick for Mets vs. Marlins

The Mets are favored to win over the Marlins based on our in-depth games analysis combined with the bet split data from regulated betting sites. is your destination for all the latest information, education, and offers across sports betting and gambling. Our dedicated team of analysts and writers have been scouring the web to get you the best sports insights, offers in your state, and betting education content.

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