New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: Best Odds and Preview for September 2, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | September 2, 2021, 7:46 am

The Miami Marlins (55-78) will aim to break a six-game road losing streak when they meet the New York Mets (65-67) on Thursday at 7:10 PM ET. The Marlins are not expected (+155) to end the streak when they take on the favored Mets (-180).

Carlos Carrasco starts for New York, and Zach Thompson is Miami’s choice to start.

Best Odds for New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Welcome to the BestOdds’ betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins.

Mets Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Mets have come away with 45 wins in the 76 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 54 of their 132 opportunities.
  • The Mets have scored 497 runs (just 3.8 per game) this season, which ranks 29th in MLB.
  • In six games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, New York has a record of 4-2.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, the Mets and their foes are 4-6 when it comes to hitting the over.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Mets are sending Carrasco (0-2) out for his seventh start of the season. He is 0-2 with a 6.94 ERA and 23 strikeouts over 23 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Thursday against the Giants, when he tossed seven innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up three hits.
  • Carrasco’s team has a 2-4 record in his starts this season.
  • Carrasco’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in three of six contests.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
J.D. Davis 56 .297 .387 .458 5 21 46
Brandon Nimmo 73 .298 .417 .416 5 22 76
Pete Alonso 122 .257 .331 .497 29 76 115
Jonathan Villar 112 .257 .327 .448 16 35 89
Javier Báez 91 .248 .290 .484 22 65 83
BestOdds rating 9.4
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Marlins Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have been the underdog on the moneyline 89 total times this season. They’ve finished 30-59 in those games.
  • Miami has combined with opponents to go over the total 59 times this season for a 59-66-8 record against the over/under.
  • The Marlins have the No. 27 offense in MLB action scoring 3.9 runs per game (525 total runs).
  • Miami went 1-5 across the six games it was moneyline underdogs in its last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups — all of which had a set run total — the Marlins and their opponents combined to go over the total three times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Thompson makes the start for the Marlins, his 14th of the season. He is 2-6 with a 3.16 ERA and 52 strikeouts in 62 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Friday, the right-hander tossed five innings against the Reds, giving up three earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • In Thompson’s 13 starts, his team is 3-10.
  • Thompson has had 13 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and six of those outings finished over the total.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Bryan De La Cruz 27 .354 .388 .469 2 9 34
Jesús Aguilar 127 .263 .326 .467 22 92 115
Jazz Chisholm 95 .256 .317 .433 14 44 90
Jesús Sánchez 38 .241 .299 .436 6 17 32
Miguel Rojas 109 .267 .327 .399 7 35 109

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