New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: Best Odds and Preview for August 31, 2021

By BestOdds Analyst | August 30, 2021 1:14 PM

The Miami Marlins (55-76) will look to stop a four-game road losing streak when they play the New York Mets (63-67) on Tuesday at 1:10 PM ET. The Marlins are not expected (+174) to end the streak when they square off against the favored Mets (-207).

Neither team has named their starter.

Best Odds for New York Mets vs Miami Marlins

Welcome to the BestOdds’ betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins in which the Mets are currently the clear pick among bettors at regulated sportsbooks to claim victory.

Mets vs Marlins Moneyline Action

Mets vs Marlins Moneyline Action
  Mets Marlins
% of Bets 89% 11%
% of Stake 98% 2%

Mets Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Mets have been victorous in 43, or 58.1%, of the 74 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
  • New York and their opponents have gone over in 53 of their 130 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Mets have scored 488 runs (just 3.8 per game) this season, which ranks 29th in MLB.
  • New York has played as the favorite in four of its past 10 games and has gone 2-2 in those contests.
  • In their last 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, the Mets and their foes are 3-7 when it comes to hitting the over.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Pete Alonso120.260.335.5012976114
J.D. Davis54.289.382.45452144
Brandon Nimmo71.287.411.39342071
Brandon Drury50.277.310.48241423
Javier Báez91.248.290.484226583

Marlins Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have won 30 of the 87 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (34.5%).
  • Miami has played in 131 games with set over/under, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 58 times (58-65-8).
  • The Marlins are the fourth-lowest scoring team in MLB action averaging four runs per game (519 total).
  • Miami has a 1-5 record from the six games it was the underdog on the moneyline over its last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Marlins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total two times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Bryan De La Cruz26.355.384.4732833
Jesús Aguilar125.262.326.4642289113
Jazz Chisholm93.254.314.429144387
Jesús Sánchez36.238.294.44461730
Miguel Rojas107.266.326.400734107

Pick for Mets vs. Marlins

Bet split data from regulated betting sites combined with our in-depth statistical analysis points to the Mets being favored to win over the Marlins.

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