New England Patriots vs. Cleveland Browns: Best Odds and Preview for Week 10


By Ed Winchester | November 8, 2021, 8:36 pm

The New England Patriots (5-4) are favored by 1 point against the Cleveland Browns (5-4) on November 14, 2021, starting at 1:00 PM ET. The predicted point total for the matchup is 45.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the NFL matchup between the New England Patriots and Cleveland Browns in which the Browns are currently the clear pick among bettors to cover the spread.

Patriots Vs. Browns Spread Betting Action

Patriots vs Browns Moneyline Action
Patriots Browns
Bet % 8% 92%
Stake % 3% 97%

New England stats and betting info

Betting trends for New England

  • New England has a 5-4-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Patriots have a 3-3 record against the spread when favored by 1 point or more this season.
  • The teams have hit the over in four of New England’s nine games with a set total.
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 253.8 (2284) 17
Rush yards 106.8 (961) 19
Points scored 25.6 (230) 9
Pass yards against 246.0 (2214) 10
Rush yards against 108.9 (980) 15
Points allowed 18.9 (170) 4

Key players for New England

  • Mac Jones has 2,135 pass yards for New England, completing 68% of his passes and collecting 10 touchdowns and seven interceptions this season.
  • Damien Harris has 547 rushing yards on 133 carries with seven touchdowns.
  • This season, Rhamondre Stevenson has carried the ball 35 times for 136 yards (15.1 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Jakobi Meyers has hauled in 46 catches for 434 yards (48.2 yards per game) to lead the team so far this season. .
  • Kendrick Bourne has put together a 422-yard season so far with two touchdowns, hauling in 29 passes on 39 targets.
  • Nelson Agholor has been the target of 42 passes and compiled 22 receptions for 335 yards, an average of 37.2 yards per contest. He’s found the end zone two times through the air this season.

New England injuries

Patriots: No Injuries Listed

BestOdds rating 9.3
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Cleveland stats and betting info

Betting trends for Cleveland

  • Cleveland has gone 5-4-0 ATS this season.
  • The Browns have a 2-1 record against the spread when an underdog by 1 point or more this season.
  • In Cleveland’s nine games with a set total, five have hit the over (55.6%).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 235.8 (2122) 26
Rush yards 160.2 (1442) 2
Points scored 24.9 (224) 11
Pass yards against 244.8 (2203) 9
Rush yards against 84.8 (763) 3
Points allowed 21.8 (196) 10

Key players for Cleveland

  • Baker Mayfield has thrown for 1,917 yards (213.0 ypg) while completing 66.7% of his passes and collecting eight touchdown passes with three interceptions this season.
  • Nick Chubb is his team’s leading rusher with 120 carries for 721 yards, or 80.1 per game. He’s found the end zone six times on the ground, as well.
  • D’Ernest Johnson has rushed for 195 yards on 37 carries with two touchdowns.
  • David Njoku’s 341 receiving yards (37.9 yards per game) are a team high. He has 21 receptions on 27 targets with two touchdowns.
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones has put together a 314-yard season so far with three touchdowns. He’s caught 15 passes on 18 targets.
  • Jarvis Landry’s 29 targets have resulted in 19 catches for 193 yards.

Cleveland injuries

Browns: No Injuries Listed

Pick for Patriots vs. Browns

The Browns are favored to cover the spread against the Patriots based on our in-depth statistical analysis combined with the bet split data from regulated betting sites.

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