Montana State vs. Montana Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 12 Predictions


By Dan Watson | November 19, 2021, 2:55 pm

The Montana Grizzlies (8-2, 0-0 Big Sky) and their third-ranked run defense will host the Montana State Bobcats (9-1, 0-0 Big Sky) and the ninth-ranked rushing attack on Saturday, November 20, 2021. The Bobcats are the underdogs, by only 2.5 points. The expected point total for the game is 32.5.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Montana stats and betting info

Betting trends for Montana

  • Montana is 4-5-0 ATS this season.
  • The Grizzlies have a 4-5 record against the spread in games they were favored by 2.5 points or more this season.
  • Montana has gone over in one of nine games with a set total (11.1%).
  • This season, every Montana game has seen a combined score higher than this game’s 32.5-point total.
  • This season, the average total for Grizzlies games is 50.7 points, 18.2 more than the over/under of 32.5 points for this contest.
  • The Grizzlies average just 11.5 fewer yards per game (23.2) than the Bobcats allow per matchup (34.7).
  • The Grizzlies have zero giveaways this season, while the Bobcats have one takeaway .
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 236.2 (2362) 39
Rush yards 139.1 (1391) 70
Points scored 29.9 (299) 34
Pass yards against 226.9 (2269) 87
Rush yards against 73.0 (730) 3
Points allowed 13.3 (133) 5

Key players for Montana

  • Camron Humphrey has 1,321 passing yards (132.1 ypg) to lead Montana, completing 63.1% of his passes and tossing 12 touchdown passes and five interceptions this season. He’s also chipped in on the ground with 136 rushing yards (13.6 ypg) on 50 carries with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Xavier Harris has carried the ball 100 times for a team-high 481 yards (48.1 per game), with one touchdown this year.
  • Mitch Roberts’ team-high 581 receiving yards (58.1 yards per game) have come on 47 receptions with one touchdown.
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Montana State stats and betting info

Betting trends for Montana State

  • Montana State is 7-2-0 ATS this year.
  • The Bobcats are a perfect 1-0 against the spread when an underdog by 2.5 points or more this year.
  • The teams have hit the over in three of Montana State’s nine games with a set total .
  • This season, eight of Montana State’s games have finished with a combined score higher than 32.5 points.
  • Bobcats’ games have a total points bet of 52.5 points this season, 20.0 points more than the over/under for this game.
  • The Bobcats rack up only 3.0 more yards per game (32.1) than the Grizzlies give up (29.1).
  • The Bobcats have turned the ball over one time, two fewer times than the Grizzlies have forced turnovers (3).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 197.8 (1978) 73
Rush yards 230.8 (2308) 9
Points scored 31.1 (311) 26
Pass yards against 161.4 (1614) 9
Rush yards against 119.4 (1194) 31
Points allowed 11.6 (116) 2

Key players for Montana State

  • Matthew McKay has been a dual threat to lead Montana State in both passing and rushing. He has 1,913 passing yards (191.3 ypg), completing 63.8% of his passes and collecting 15 touchdown passes and three interceptions this season. He’s rushed for 293 yards (29.3 ypg) on 69 carries with two rushing touchdowns.
  • Isaiah Ifanse has carried the ball 191 times for a team-high 1,208 yards (120.8 per game), with eight touchdowns this year.
  • Lance McCutcheon’s team-high 874 receiving yards (87.4 yards per game) have come on 47 receptions with six touchdowns.

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