Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: Best Odds and Preview for September 10, 2021

By BestOdds Analyst | September 9, 2021, 10:46 pm

Booksmakers give the Minnesota Twins (62-78) the edge (-135 moneyline odds) to stop their three-game home losing streak when they take on the Kansas City Royals (63-77) (+115 moneyline odds) on Friday at 8:10 PM ET.

Minnesota has Griffin Jax starting things off, and Kansas City counters Daniel Lynch.

Best Odds for Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Minnesota Twins and Kansas City Royals.

Twins Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Twins have come away with 34 wins in the 73 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 77 of their 139 opportunities.
  • The Twins have scored 627 runs (4.5 per game) this season, which ranks 16th in MLB.
  • Minnesota has been favored in four of its past 10 games and won two of those matchups.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Twins and their foes are 2-8 in their previous 10 contests.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Jax gets the start for the Twins, his 10th of the season. He is 3-3 with a 6.79 ERA and 47 strikeouts in 58 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last pitched on Sunday against the Rays, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Jax’s team is 5-4 in his nine starts.
  • Jax has had nine starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined hit the over in two of those outings.

Key Players

Byron Buxton 39 .289 .329 .592 11 21 44
Jorge Polanco 130 .278 .335 .509 27 83 141
Josh Donaldson 113 .251 .345 .470 21 59 96
Miguel Sanó 113 .221 .307 .469 26 64 86
Luis Arraez 102 .294 .358 .381 2 36 106
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000

Royals Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Royals have been the underdog on the moneyline 97 total times this season. They’ve finished 42-55 in those games.
  • Kansas City has played in 140 games with an over/under set, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 59 times (59-72-9).
  • The Royals have the No. 23 offense in MLB action scoring 4.2 runs per game (588 total runs).
  • Kansas City has a 3-1 record from the four games it was moneyline underdogs over its last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Royals combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total three times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Lynch (4-4 with a 5.29 ERA and 43 strikeouts in 51 innings pitched) gets the start for the Royals, his 12th of the season.
  • His most recent time out was on Saturday against the White Sox, when the lefty went 2 2/3 innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Lynch’s team has a 6-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Lynch has had 11 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and four of those outings finished over the total.

Key Players

Adalberto Mondesi 16 .279 .290 .607 5 12 17
Salvador Pérez 139 .276 .311 .546 42 104 148
Nicky Lopez 125 .297 .365 .375 2 38 122
Andrew Benintendi 112 .258 .304 .413 13 52 107
Whit Merrifield 140 .276 .318 .397 10 68 157

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