Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: Best Odds and Preview for September 30, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | September 29, 2021, 11:50 pm

Miguel Sano has 99 hits this season, and will try to get his 100th when his Minnesota Twins (71-87) play the Detroit Tigers (75-83) on Thursday at 7:40 PM ET. The Twins are favored (-185) over the Tigers (+158).

Minnesota’s Joe Ryan and Detroit’s Tarik Skubal will start this matchup.

Best Odds for Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Minnesota Twins and Detroit Tigers.

Twins Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Twins have been victorous in 39, or 47.6%, of the 82 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 85 of their 157 opportunities.
  • The Twins rank 16th in the league with 705 total runs scored this season.
  • In three games as the favorite over the last 10 contests, Minnesota has a perfect record of 3-0.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on two occasions.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Twins will send Ryan (2-1) to make his fifth start of the season. He is 2-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 22 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Wednesday, Sept. 22, the right-hander threw five innings against the Cubs, allowing two earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • Ryan’s team has compiled a 2-2 record over his four starts.
  • Ryan has started four contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in one of them.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Byron Buxton 57 .292 .349 .597 16 28 63
Mitch Garver 66 .261 .363 .533 13 33 52
Jorge Polanco 148 .271 .325 .504 32 94 156
Josh Donaldson 131 .248 .348 .467 24 67 110
Miguel Sanó 131 .218 .305 .466 30 72 99
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Tigers Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Tigers have a 61-73 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 45.5% of those games).
  • Detroit has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 65 times this season for a 65-87-6 record against the over/under.
  • The Tigers have the No. 23 offense in baseball scoring 4.3 runs per game (677 total runs).
  • Detroit has a 4-5 record over the nine games it was the underdog on the moneyline in its last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Tigers and their opponents combined to go over the total one time.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Skubal (8-12 with a 4.13 ERA and 163 strikeouts in 146 innings pitched) makes the start for the Tigers, his 29th of the season.
  • The lefty last appeared on Saturday against the Royals, when he went four scoreless innings while giving up one hit.
  • In Skubal’s 28 starts, his team is 13-15.
  • Skubal has had 28 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 12 of those outings.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Dustin Garneau 17 .218 .267 .618 6 9 12
Jeimer Candelario 147 .273 .351 .447 16 66 150
Robbie Grossman 152 .238 .354 .416 23 65 130
Akil Baddoo 113 .260 .326 .443 13 54 104
Eric Haase 95 .230 .285 .463 22 59 78

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