Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: NLDS Game 1 Best Odds and Preview for October 8, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | October 7, 2021, 5:45 am

The Milwaukee Brewers (95-67) host the Atlanta Braves (88-73) to begin the NLDS on Friday 4:37 PM ET at American Family Field.

Milwaukee’s Corbin Burnes and Atlanta’s Charlie Morton pitch first for their squads in this matchup.

Best Odds for Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta Braves

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Milwaukee Brewers and Atlanta Braves.

Brewers Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Brewers have been victorous in 76, or 60.3%, of the 126 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
  • Milwaukee’s games have gone over the total in 75 of their 162 opportunities.
  • The Brewers have scored the 12th-most runs in the league this season with 738 (4.6 per game).
  • In five games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, Milwaukee has a record of 3-2.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Brewers and their foes are 6-4 in their previous 10 contests.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Brewers will send Burnes (11-5) to the mound to make his 29th start of the season. He is 11-5 with a 2.43 ERA and 234 strikeouts over 167 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance was on Sunday against the Dodgers, when the righty tossed two innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing two hits.
  • Burnes’ team is 19-9 over his 28 starts.
  • Burnes has had 28 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 13 of those games hit the over.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Willy Adames 99 .285 .366 .521 20 58 104
Avisaíl García 133 .262 .330 .490 29 86 121
Rowdy Tellez 56 .272 .333 .481 7 28 43
Eduardo Escobar 48 .268 .342 .458 6 25 48
Luis Urías 149 .249 .345 .445 23 75 122
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Braves Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Braves have been the underdog on the moneyline 48 total times this season. They’ve finished 22-26 in those games.
  • Atlanta has played in 160 games with an over/under set, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 73 times (73-78-9).
  • The Braves have the No. 8 offense in baseball scoring 4.9 runs per game (790 total runs).
  • Atlanta was named the moneyline underdog by oddsmakers just twice over the last 10 games, and split those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Morton gets the start for the Braves, his 34th of the season. He is 14-6 with a 3.30 ERA and 216 strikeouts in 185 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His last time out came on Sunday against the Mets, when the right-hander tossed 2 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing only one hit.
  • In Morton’s 33 starts, his team is 17-16.
  • Morton has started 33 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 15 of them.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Eddie Rosario 33 .271 .330 .573 7 16 26
Austin Riley 160 .303 .367 .531 33 107 179
Freddie Freeman 159 .300 .393 .503 31 83 180
Jorge Soler 55 .269 .358 .524 14 33 56
Adam Duvall 55 .226 .287 .513 16 45 45

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