Middle Tennessee vs. Toledo Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Bahamas Bowl Predictions


By Dan Watson | December 11, 2021 8:37 PM

In this season’s Bahamas Bowl, the Toledo Rockets are double-digit favorites (-10) over the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders. Thomas Robinson Stadium in Nassau, New Providence will act as host on December 17, 2021, starting at 12:00 PM ET. The over/under is 52 in the contest.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Toledo stats and betting info

Betting trends for Toledo

  • So far this season, Toledo has put together a 7-4-0 record against the spread.
  • The Rockets have a 3-2 record against the spread this season when favored by 10 points or more.
  • Toledo has gone over in five of its 11 games with a set total (45.5%).
  • This season, six of Toledo’s 11 games have gone over Friday’s total of 52 points.
  • The Rockets have seen a 55.0 average over/under in their games this season, 3.0 points more than the over/under in this matchup.
  • The Rockets rack up 435.8 yards per game, 68.4 more yards than the 367.4 the Blue Raiders allow per contest.
  • In games that Toledo churns out more than 367.4 yards, the team is 6-2 overall.
  • The Rockets have five giveaways this season, while the Blue Raiders have 31 takeaways .
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 241.3 (2895) 57
Rush yards 194.5 (2334) 28
Points scored 34.2 (410) 27
Pass yards against 191.5 (2298) 16
Rush yards against 150.8 (1810) 63
Points allowed 21.0 (252) 27

Key players for Toledo

  • DeQuan Finn has been a dual threat to lead Toledo in both passing and rushing. He has 1,862 passing yards (155.2 ypg), completing 59.7% of his passes and tossing 16 touchdown passes and one interception this season. He’s rushed for 419 yards (34.9 ypg) on 100 carries with eight rushing touchdowns.
  • The team’s top rusher, Bryant Koback, has carried the ball 191 times for 1,289 yards (107.4 per game), with 16 touchdowns this year. He’s also caught 28 passes for 329 yards (27.4 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • Devin Maddox’s team-high 562 receiving yards (46.8 yards per game) have come on 38 receptions with four touchdowns.

Middle Tennessee stats and betting info

Betting trends for Middle Tennessee

  • Middle Tennessee is 5-5-1 against the spread this year.
  • The Blue Raiders are 1-4 against the spread when an underdog by 10 points or more this year.
  • The teams have hit the over in four of Middle Tennessee’s 11 games with a set total .
  • There have been six Middle Tennessee games that have ended with a combined score over 52 points this season.
  • A difference of 4.1 points separates the average total points bet in Blue Raiders’ games (56.1 points) and this contest’s over/under (52 points).
  • The Blue Raiders collect only 13.6 more yards per game (355.9) than the Rockets give up per contest (342.3).
  • In games that Middle Tennessee piles up more than 342.3 yards, the team is 3-4.
  • The Blue Raiders have turned the ball over three more times (20 total) than the Rockets have forced a turnover (17) this season.
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 235.3 (2824) 65
Rush yards 120.6 (1447) 108
Points scored 29.8 (357) 55
Pass yards against 238.3 (2859) 83
Rush yards against 129.2 (1550) 33
Points allowed 25.8 (310) 62

Key players for Middle Tennessee

  • Chase Cunningham has 1,318 passing yards (109.8 ypg) to lead Middle Tennessee, completing 62.5% of his passes and tossing 16 touchdown passes and three interceptions this season.
  • Martell Pettaway has carried the ball 74 times for a team-high 359 yards (29.9 per game), with three touchdowns this year.
  • Jimmy Marshall’s 510 receiving yards (42.5 yards per game) lead the team. He has 45 receptions with six touchdowns.

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