Middle Tennessee vs. Florida Atlantic Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 13 Predictions


By Dan Watson | November 22, 2021, 4:39 am

The Florida Atlantic Owls (5-6, 0-0 C-USA) are the favorites — expected to win by at least a field goal, but less than a touchdown (currently -4) — against the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (5-6, 0-0 C-USA) in a battle of two conference rivals. The expected point total for the matchup is 49.5.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Florida Atlantic stats and betting info

Betting trends for Florida Atlantic

  • Florida Atlantic’s ATS record is 4-6-1 this season.
  • The Owls have a 3-2-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 4 points or more.
  • In Florida Atlantic’s 11 games with a set total, four have hit the over (36.4%).
  • This season, Florida Atlantic games have seen a combined score higher than this game’s 49.5-point total four times.
  • The Owls have seen a 53.1 average over/under in their games this season, 3.6 points more than the over/under in this contest.
  • The Owls collect 37.7 more yards per game (401.0) than the Blue Raiders give up per matchup (363.3).
  • In games that Florida Atlantic picks up more than 363.3 yards, the team is 4-1 overall.
  • The Owls have 17 giveaways this season, while the Blue Raiders have 29 takeaways .
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 241.3 (2654) 60
Rush yards 159.7 (1757) 68
Points scored 26.2 (288) 80
Pass yards against 253.6 (2790) 100
Rush yards against 159.7 (1757) 79
Points allowed 25.6 (282) 64

Key players for Florida Atlantic

  • N’Kosi Perry leads Florida Atlantic with 2,443 passing yards (222.1 ypg) on 178-of-297 passing with 18 touchdowns compared to six interceptions this season. He also adds 151 rushing yards (13.7 ypg) on 97 carries while scoring four touchdowns on the ground.
  • The team’s top rusher, Johnny Ford, has carried the ball 122 times for 778 yards (70.7 per game), with five touchdowns this year. He’s also caught 18 passes for 233 yards (21.2 per game) and two touchdowns.
  • LaJohntay Wester’s team-leading 607 receiving yards (55.2 yards per game) have come on 51 receptions with four touchdowns.
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Middle Tennessee stats and betting info

Betting trends for Middle Tennessee

  • Middle Tennessee is 4-5-1 against the spread this year.
  • The Blue Raiders are 1-4 against the spread when an underdog by 4 points or more this season.
  • The teams have hit the over in four of Middle Tennessee’s 10 games with a set total .
  • In Middle Tennessee’s 10 games this season, six have finished with more combined scoring than Saturday’s over/under of 49.5.
  • A difference of 7.3 points separates the average total points bet in Blue Raiders’ games (56.8 points) and this game’s over/under (49.5 points).
  • The Blue Raiders collect 58.1 fewer yards per game (355.3) than the Owls allow per outing (413.4).
  • Middle Tennessee is 2-2 overall when the team piles up more than 413.4 yards.
  • The Blue Raiders have turned the ball over 20 times this season, one more turnover than the Owls have forced (19).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 235.3 (2588) 65
Rush yards 120.0 (1320) 110
Points scored 30.0 (330) 57
Pass yards against 230.1 (2531) 69
Rush yards against 133.2 (1465) 37
Points allowed 26.6 (293) 71

Key players for Middle Tennessee

  • Chase Cunningham has thrown for 1,318 yards (119.8 ypg) to lead Middle Tennessee, completing 62.5% of his passes and collecting 16 touchdown passes and three interceptions this season. He’s also contributed in the ground game with 118 rushing yards (10.7 ypg) on 44 carries.
  • Martell Pettaway has carried the ball 69 times for a team-high 284 yards (25.8 per game), with three touchdowns this year.
  • Jimmy Marshall’s 494 receiving yards (44.9 yards per game) lead the team. He has 43 receptions with six touchdowns.

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