Miami vs. Duke Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 13 Predictions


By Dan Watson | November 21, 2021, 8:42 pm

In a battle of two conference rivals, the Miami Hurricanes (6-5, 0-0 ACC) will meet the Duke Blue Devils (3-8, 0-0 ACC). The Hurricanes are heavy favorites, expected to win by at least two touchdowns (currently -21). The matchup has an over/under of 68 points.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Miami stats and betting info

Betting trends for Miami

  • Miami is 5-6-0 ATS this season.
  • The Hurricanes are a perfect 1-0 against the spread when favored by 21 points or more this season.
  • In Miami’s 11 games with a set total, five have hit the over (45.5%).
  • This season, Miami games have hit the over on this matchup’s 68-point total three times.
  • On average, the over/under in Hurricanes games is 8.8 points fewer than the over/under of 68 points in this matchup.
  • The Hurricanes average 74.5 fewer yards per game (441.5) than the Blue Devils allow per contest (516.0).
  • In games that Miami amasses over 516.0 yards, the team is 2-0 overall.
  • The Hurricanes have turned the ball over 17 times this season, three more turnovers than the Blue Devils have forced (14).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 314.9 (3464) 13
Rush yards 126.5 (1392) 100
Points scored 32.9 (362) 33
Pass yards against 259.1 (2850) 106
Rush yards against 146.0 (1606) 59
Points allowed 30.1 (331) 91

Key players for Miami

  • Tyler Van Dyke has thrown for 2,550 yards (231.8 ypg) to lead Miami, completing 61.1% of his passes and recording 22 touchdown passes and six interceptions this season.
  • The team’s top rusher, Jaylan Knighton, has carried the ball 132 times for 510 yards (46.4 per game), with seven touchdowns this year. He’s also caught 17 passes for 251 yards (22.8 per game) and three touchdowns.
  • Charleston Rambo’s team-leading 1,071 receiving yards (97.4 yards per game) have come on 71 receptions with five touchdowns.
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Duke stats and betting info

Betting trends for Duke

  • Duke is 4-7-0 against the spread this year.
  • The Blue Devils are winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 21-point underdogs.
  • Duke games have hit the over in six out of 11 opportunities (54.5%).
  • This season, three games Duke played finished with a combined score higher than 68 points.
  • The over/under for this matchup is 6.7 points more than the average over/under in Blue Devils’ games this season (61.3 points).
  • The Blue Devils rack up 31.8 more yards per game (436.9) than the Hurricanes give up per outing (405.1).
  • In games that Duke piles up more than 405.1 yards, the team is 3-3.
  • The Blue Devils have turned the ball over 10 more times (20 total) than the Hurricanes have forced a turnover (10) this season.
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 245.3 (2698) 57
Rush yards 191.6 (2108) 39
Points scored 24.0 (264) 99
Pass yards against 304.6 (3351) 128
Rush yards against 211.4 (2325) 117
Points allowed 39.1 (430) 125

Key players for Duke

  • Gunnar Holmberg leads Duke with 2,210 passing yards (200.9 ypg) on 197-of-291 passing with seven touchdowns compared to seven interceptions this season. He also adds 172 rushing yards (15.6 ypg) on 82 carries while scoring six touchdowns on the ground.
  • Mataeo Durant’s team-high 1,165 rushing yards (105.9 per game) have come on 234 carries, with nine touchdowns this year. He’s also added 233 yards (21.2 per game) on 25 catches with two touchdowns.
  • Jake Bobo’s 769 receiving yards (69.9 yards per game) lead the team. He has 71 receptions with one touchdown.

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