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Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: Best Odds and Preview for September 22, 2021

The Miami Marlins (64-87) and the Washington Nationals (62-89) meet on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET with the series tied 1-1. The Marlins are favored (-130) to win the rubber match against the Nationals (+111).

Miami has Elieser Hernandez starting things off, while Washington will send out Josiah Gray.

Best Odds for Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals in which the Marlins are currently the clear pick among bettors at regulated sportsbooks to claim victory.

Marlins vs Nationals Moneyline Action

Marlins vs Nationals Moneyline Action
Marlins Nationals
% of Bets 77% 23%
% of Stake 90% 10%

Marlins Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have come away with 28 wins in the 50 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
  • Miami’s games have gone over the total in 67 of their 151 opportunities.
  • The Marlins are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 27th with just 596 total runs (3.9 per game) this season.
  • Miami has competed as the favorite in six of its past 10 games and has gone 3-3 in those matchups.
  • When it comes to the total, the Marlins and their opponents are 6-3-1 in their previous 10 games.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Hernandez gets the start for the Marlins, his 10th of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.80 ERA and 40 strikeouts in 42 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Friday against the Pirates, the right-hander went 5 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
  • Hernandez’s team is 4-5 in his nine starts.
  • Hernandez’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in five of nine games.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Nick Fortes 4 .556 .600 1.222 2 3 5
Bryan De La Cruz 45 .315 .374 .463 5 18 51
Jesús Sánchez 56 .244 .301 .493 13 34 49
Jazz Chisholm 113 .252 .307 .435 17 49 106
Miguel Rojas 124 .270 .327 .398 8 45 126
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Nationals Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have won 30.1% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (28-65).
  • In the 150 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Washington, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 69 times (69-76-5).
  • The Nationals have the No. 14 offense in MLB play scoring 4.5 runs per game (678 total runs).
  • Washington was the underdog on the moneyline in four of its last 10 games, and finished 1-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Nationals and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Nationals will send Gray (0-2) to the mound to make his 11th start of the season. He is 0-2 with a 6.24 ERA and 57 strikeouts over 53 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s most recent time out came on Friday against the Rockies, when he went 5 1/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing three hits.
  • Gray’s team has a 2-7 record in his starts this season.
  • Gray’s starts hit the over on the run total six times in nine games with a set total this season.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 140 .316 .443 .532 26 87 148
Lane Thomas 33 .292 .384 .531 6 23 38
Josh Bell 133 .257 .337 .485 27 84 118
Ryan Zimmerman 103 .244 .283 .475 14 45 59
Riley Adams 38 .234 .345 .404 2 10 22

Pick for Marlins vs. Nationals

Our in-depth games analysis combined with the betting split data provided by regulated betting sites favors the Marlins to win over the Nationals.

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