Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: Best Odds and Preview for September 15, 2021

By BestOdds Analyst | September 14, 2021, 10:45 pm

The Miami Marlins (61-84) play the Washington Nationals (60-85) a game after Lewin Diaz hit a pair of home runs in an 8-2 loss to the Nationals. The Marlins are favored (-117) in this matchup with the Nationals (-100), which starts at 1:05 PM ET on Wednesday.

Miami has Trevor Rogers starting things off, and Washington will counter with Josh Rogers.

Best Odds for Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Miami Marlins and Washington Nationals in which the Marlins are currently the clear pick among bettors at regulated sportsbooks to claim victory.

Marlins vs Nationals Moneyline Action

Marlins vs Nationals Moneyline Action
Marlins Nationals
% of Bets 60% 40%
% of Stake 98% 2%

Marlins Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Marlins have been victorous in 26, or 57.8%, of the 45 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
  • Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 63 of their 145 opportunities.
  • The Marlins are among the lowest scoring teams in the league, ranking 28th with just 567 total runs (3.9 per game) this season.
  • Miami has been the favorite just one time in the past 10 contests and won that that game.
  • In their last 10 games with an over/under, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to clear the total three times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Trevor Rogers (7-7) gets the starting nod for the Marlins in his 23rd start of the season. He has a 2.81 ERA in 118 2/3 innings pitched, with 138 strikeouts.
  • The lefty last pitched on Friday against the Braves, when he went 4 1/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up three hits.
  • Rogers’ team has won 10 of his 22 starts.
  • Rogers’ starts went over the run total eight times in 22 games with a set total this season.

Key Players

Bryan De La Cruz 39 .336 .382 .471 4 15 47
Jesús Sánchez 50 .236 .295 .461 10 27 42
Lewin Diaz 23 .190 .217 .517 5 7 11
Jazz Chisholm 107 .250 .306 .425 15 46 100
Miguel Rojas 119 .269 .327 .400 8 42 121
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000

Nationals Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have compiled a 27-63 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 30% of those games).
  • In the 144 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Washington, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 66 times (66-74-4).
  • The Nationals have the No. 17 offense in MLB play scoring 4.4 runs per game (639 total runs).
  • Washington went 2-5 over the seven games it was the underdog on the moneyline in its last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Nationals and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Josh Rogers (1-0) pitches first for the Nationals to make his third start of the season.
  • His most recent time out was on Friday against the Pirates, when the lefty threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing eight hits.
  • His team split the two matchups he’s appeared in this season.
  • Rogers’ two starts with a total this season finished 0-1-1 against the total.

Key Players

Juan Soto 134 .313 .440 .527 25 84 140
Lane Thomas 27 .301 .392 .524 4 17 31
Josh Bell 128 .252 .328 .478 26 82 111
Riley Adams 36 .244 .346 .422 2 9 22
Ryan Zimmerman 99 .243 .285 .483 14 45 56

Pick for Marlins vs. Nationals

The Marlins are favored to win over the Nationals based on our in-depth games analysis combined with the bet split data provided by regulated betting sites.

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