Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Odds & Game Analysis | November 15


By Lester Mackay | November 14, 2021, 9:39 pm

The Miami Heat (8-5) visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (5-7) at Paycom Center, beginning at 8:00 PM ET on Monday, November 15, 2021. The Thunder are 9.5-point underdogs in the game.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Miami Vs. Oklahoma City Moneyline Betting Action

Heat vs Thunder Moneyline Action
Heat Thunder
Bet % 67% 33%
Stake % 50% 50%

Heat stats and betting info

Betting trends for Miami

  • Miami is 9-4-0 ATS this season.
  • In games they have played as at least 9.5-point favorites this season, the Heat are 1-0 against the spread.
  • Miami games have hit the over in eight out of 13 opportunities (61.5%).
  • The Heat have been favored on the moneyline eight total times this season. They’ve finished 4-4 in those games.
  • Miami has played as a moneyline favorite of -478 or shorter in only one game this season, which they won.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Heat’s implied win probability is 82.7%.

Key players for Miami

  • Bam Adebayo: 19.7 PTS, 11.2 REB, 1.4 STL, 50.3 FG%
  • Jimmy Butler: 23.6 PTS, 5.1 AST, 2.1 STL, 52.7 FG%, 29.4 3PT% (5-for-17)
  • Tyler Herro: 21.5 PTS, 45.8 FG%, 37.4 3PT% (34-for-91)
  • Kyle Lowry: 12.8 PTS, 7.0 AST, 1.3 STL, 42.2 FG%, 32.9 3PT% (26-for-79)
  • Duncan Robinson: 10.8 PTS, 35.0 FG%, 33.3 3PT% (40-for-120)

Heat Injuries: Victor Oladipo: Out (Right Knee), Markieff Morris: Out (Neck), Bam Adebayo: Day To Day (Knee), Jimmy Butler: Day To Day (Ankle)

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Thunder stats and betting info

Betting trends for Oklahoma City

  • Miami has a 9-4-0 record against the spread this season.
  • In games they have played as at least 9.5-point favorites this season, the Heat are 1-0 against the spread.
  • In Miami’s 13 games with a set total, eight have hit the over (61.5%).
  • The Thunder have been underdogs in 12 games this season and won five (41.7%) of those contests.
  • Oklahoma City is 1-5 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +350 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 22.2% chance of a victory for the Thunder.

Key players for Oklahoma City

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 22.6 PTS, 43.8 FG%, 35.8 3PT% (29-for-81)
  • Josh Giddey: 9.3 PTS, 5.9 AST, 1.3 STL, 37.7 FG%, 28.9 3PT% (11-for-38)
  • Darius Bazley: 11.2 PTS, 40.3 FG%, 28.3 3PT% (15-for-53)
  • Luguentz Dort: 15.4 PTS, 42.2 FG%, 25.7 3PT% (18-for-70)
  • Kenrich Williams: 6.9 PTS, 40.8 FG%, 33.3 3PT% (10-for-30)

Thunder Injuries: Mike Muscala: Out (Rest)

Pick for Heat vs. Thunder

Bet split data provided by regulated betting sites combined with our in-depth statistical analysis points to the Heat being favored to win over the Thunder.

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