Miami Heat vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Odds & Game Analysis | November 24


By Lester Mackay | November 24, 2021, 1:41 am

The Miami Heat (12-6) visit the Minnesota Timberwolves (8-9) at Target Center, beginning at 8:00 PM ET on Wednesday, November 24, 2021. The Timberwolves are 1.5-point underdogs in the game.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the NBA matchup between the Miami Heat and Minnesota Timberwolves in which the Timberwolves are currently the pick among bettors at regulated sportsbooks to claim victory.

Miami Vs. Minnesota Moneyline Betting Action

Heat vs Timberwolves Moneyline Action
Heat Timberwolves
Bet % 40% 60%
Stake % 40% 60%

Heat stats and betting info

Betting trends for Miami

  • Miami has a 12-6-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Heat have a 7-6 record against the spread in games they were favored by 1.5 points or more this season.
  • A total of 10 of Miami’s 18 games with a set total have hit the over (55.6%).
  • The Heat have been the moneyline favorite 13 total times this season. They’ve finished 8-5 in those games.
  • Miami has a record of 8-4 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -128 or shorter (66.7%).
  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Heat a 56.1% chance to win.

Key players for Miami

  • Jimmy Butler: 24.5 PTS, 5.3 AST, 2 STL, 52.5 FG%, 26.1 3PT% (6-for-23)
  • Tyler Herro: 22.1 PTS, 46.5 FG%, 40.2 3PT% (49-for-122)
  • Bam Adebayo: 19.1 PTS, 10.5 REB, 1.2 STL, 50.7 FG%
  • Kyle Lowry: 12.2 PTS, 7.6 AST, 1.2 STL, 40.7 FG%, 30 3PT% (30-for-100)
  • Duncan Robinson: 10.7 PTS, 36.6 FG%, 33.8 3PT% (53-for-157)

Heat Injuries: Victor Oladipo: Out (Right Knee), Markieff Morris: Out (Neck), Marcus Garrett: Out (Wrist)

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Timberwolves stats and betting info

Betting trends for Minnesota

  • Miami has gone 12-6-0 ATS this season.
  • In games this season they were favored by 1.5 points or more, the Heat have a 7-6 record against the spread.
  • Miami games have hit the over in 10 out of 18 opportunities (55.6%).
  • This season, the Timberwolves have been the underdog eight times and won two of those games.
  • Minnesota has entered eight games this season as the underdog by +107 or more and is 2-6 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 48.3% chance of a victory for the Timberwolves.

Key players for Minnesota

  • Karl-Anthony Towns: 23.4 PTS, 9.3 REB, 1.4 STL, 1.1 BLK, 50.5 FG%, 45.4 3PT% (49-for-108)
  • Anthony Edwards: 22.2 PTS, 1.4 STL, 43 FG%, 35.6 3PT% (53-for-149)
  • D’Angelo Russell: 18.3 PTS, 5.7 AST, 38 FG%, 32.1 3PT% (42-for-131)
  • Patrick Beverley: 8.6 PTS, 1.1 BLK, 46.7 FG%, 35.2 3PT% (19-for-54)
  • Jarred Vanderbilt: 5.6 PTS, 1.2 STL, 53.4 FG%

Timberwolves Injuries: Josh Okogie: Day To Day (Back)

Pick for Heat vs. Timberwolves

Bet split data from regulated betting sites combined with our in-depth statistical analysis points to the Timberwolves being favored to win over the Heat.

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