Maine vs. UMass Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 11 Predictions


By Dan Watson | November 12, 2021, 10:37 am

The Maine Black Bears (4-5) are considered favorites (-1.5) according to the oddsmakers ahead of their game against the UMass Minutemen (1-8) on November 13, 2021, starting at 12:00 PM ET. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 59.5.


Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Maine stats and betting info

Betting trends for Maine

  • Maine’s ATS record is 3-5-0 this season.
  • The Black Bears have not yet covered the spread as favorites of 1.5 points or more this season (0-2).
  • Maine has gone over in two of eight games with a set total (25%).
  • This season, Maine games have gone over this game’s 59.5-point total just twice.
  • On average, the over/under in Black Bears games is 5.2 points fewer than the over/under of 59.5 points in this matchup.
  • The Black Bears rack up 457.4 fewer yards per game (32.2) than the Minutemen allow per contest (489.6).
  • The Black Bears have one giveaway this season, while the Minutemen have 10 takeaways .
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 202.7 (1824) 66
Rush yards 118.7 (1068) 91
Points scored 23.0 (207) 73
Pass yards against 245.8 (2212) 98
Rush yards against 149.0 (1341) 64
Points allowed 29.7 (267) 82

Key players for Maine

  • Derek Robertson has thrown for 1,506 yards (167.3 ypg) to lead Maine, completing 50.8% of his passes and collecting 12 touchdown passes and four interceptions this season.
  • The team’s top rusher, Freddie Brock, has carried the ball 110 times for 556 yards (61.8 per game), with five touchdowns this year.
  • Andre Miller’s 570 receiving yards (63.3 yards per game) pace all receivers on the team. He’s registered 33 receptions and two touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.3
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UMass stats and betting info

Betting trends for UMass

  • UMass has gone 3-6-0 ATS this year.
  • The Minutemen have a 3-5 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 1.5 points or more.
  • Six of UMass’ nine games with a set total have hit the over (66.7%).
  • This season, four of UMass’ games have finished with a combined score higher than 59.5 points.
  • Minutemen games have an over/under of 57.7 points this season, 1.8 points fewer than the total points bet for this matchup.
  • The Minutemen rack up 227.5 more yards per game (291.3) than the Black Bears allow per matchup (63.8).
  • In games that UMass amasses more than 63.8 yards, the team is 1-8.
  • This year the Minutemen have turned the ball over 16 times, 14 more than the Black Bears’ takeaways (2).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 169.4 (1525) 114
Rush yards 121.9 (1097) 104
Points scored 15.8 (142) 126
Pass yards against 258.2 (2324) 105
Rush yards against 231.3 (2082) 126
Points allowed 45.0 (405) 130

Key players for UMass

  • Brady Olson has thrown for 1,040 yards (115.6 ypg) to lead UMass, completing 48.4% of his passes and recording seven touchdown passes and seven interceptions this season.
  • The team’s top rusher, Ellis Merriweather, has carried the ball 151 times for 681 yards (75.7 per game), with three touchdowns this year.
  • Rico Arnold’s team-high 384 receiving yards (42.7 yards per game) have come on 25 receptions with two touchdowns.

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