Kentucky vs. New Mexico State Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 12 Predictions

By Dan Watson | November 14, 2021, 8:37 pm

The Kentucky Wildcats (7-3) are favored by 36 points versus the New Mexico State Aggies (1-9) on November 20, 2021, starting at 12:00 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under of 59.5 points.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Kentucky stats and betting info

Betting trends for Kentucky

  • Kentucky has a 6-4-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Kentucky has gone over in five of its 10 games with a set total (50%).
  • Kentucky and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday’s over/under (59.5 points) three times this season.
  • On average, the over/under in Wildcats games is 7.8 points fewer than the over/under of 59.5 points in this contest.
  • The Wildcats rack up 394.4 yards per game, 81.0 fewer yards than the 475.4 the Aggies give up per outing.
  • When Kentucky amasses over 475.4 yards, the team is 2-1.
  • This year, the Wildcats have turned the ball over 17 times, one more than the Aggies’ takeaways (16).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 209.2 (2092) 91
Rush yards 185.2 (1852) 47
Points scored 29.2 (292) 60
Pass yards against 224.2 (2242) 54
Rush yards against 116.9 (1169) 21
Points allowed 22.8 (228) 46

Key players for Kentucky

  • Will Levis has thrown for 2,025 yards (202.5 ypg) to lead Kentucky, completing 65.6% of his passes and collecting 19 touchdown passes and 11 interceptions this season. He’s also contributed in the ground game with 263 rushing yards (26.3 ypg) on 74 carries with five rushing touchdowns.
  • The team’s top rusher, Christopher Rodriguez Jr., has carried the ball 173 times for 1,031 yards (103.1 per game), with seven touchdowns this year.
  • Wan’Dale Robinson’s 886 receiving yards (88.6 yards per game) lead the team. He has 77 receptions with seven touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.3
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New Mexico State stats and betting info

Betting trends for New Mexico State

  • New Mexico State has gone 6-4-0 ATS this year.
  • The Aggies are winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 36-point underdogs.
  • New Mexico State games have gone over the point total in five out of 10 opportunities (50%).
  • This season, six of New Mexico State’s games have ended with a score higher than 59.5 points.
  • Aggies’ games have a total points bet of 59.9 points this season, 0.4 points more than the over/under for this matchup.
  • The Aggies average 354.5 yards per game, just 13.4 more than the 341.1 the Wildcats allow.
  • New Mexico State is 1-7 overall when the team churns out over 341.1 yards.
  • The Aggies have turned the ball over eight more times (14 total) than the Wildcats have forced a turnover (6) this season.
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 263.2 (2632) 37
Rush yards 91.3 (913) 126
Points scored 21.1 (211) 115
Pass yards against 294.8 (2948) 126
Rush yards against 180.6 (1806) 100
Points allowed 40.2 (402) 127

Key players for New Mexico State

  • Jonah Johnson leads New Mexico State with 2,101 passing yards (210.1 ypg) on 215-of-371 passing with eight touchdowns compared to seven interceptions this season. He also adds 117 rushing yards (11.7 ypg) on 112 carries while scoring four touchdowns on the ground.
  • Juwuan Price has carried the ball 99 times for a team-high 463 yards (46.3 per game), with six touchdowns this year. He’s also tacked on 21 catches for 152 yards (15.2 per game).
  • Jared Wyatt’s 486 receiving yards (48.6 yards per game) lead all receivers on the team. He’s collected 42 receptions and two touchdowns.

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