Kentucky vs. Louisville Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 13 Predictions


By Dan Watson | November 22, 2021, 4:42 am

The Louisville Cardinals (6-5) will have their 16th-ranked running game versus the Kentucky Wildcats (8-3), featuring the No. 40 run defense in the nation, on Saturday, November 27, 2021. The Cardinals are favored by only 2.5 points. The game has an over/under of 57 points.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Louisville stats and betting info

Betting trends for Louisville

  • Louisville has a 6-4-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Cardinals have a 3-2 record against the spread this season when favored by 2.5 points or more.
  • Louisville games have gone over the point total in four out of 10 opportunities (40%).
  • Louisville and its opponents have combined to outscore Saturday’s over/under (57 points) four times this season.
  • This season, the average total for Cardinals games is 60.1 points, 3.1 more than the over/under of 57 points for this contest.
  • The Cardinals collect 123.8 more yards per game (459.5) than the Wildcats give up per outing (335.7).
  • When Louisville picks up more than 335.7 yards, the team is 6-5.
  • This year, the Cardinals have turned the ball over 12 times, four more than the Wildcats’ takeaways (8).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 241.6 (2658) 59
Rush yards 217.9 (2397) 16
Points scored 32.9 (362) 33
Pass yards against 253.8 (2792) 101
Rush yards against 138.0 (1518) 49
Points allowed 24.7 (272) 54

Key players for Louisville

  • Micale Cunningham leads Louisville with 2,588 passing yards (235.3 ypg) on 184-of-296 passing with 18 touchdowns and five interceptions this season. He also has 933 rushing yards (84.8 ypg) on 150 carries while scoring 18 touchdowns on the ground.
  • Jordan Watkins’ 510 receiving yards (46.4 yards per game) lead the team. He has 33 receptions with four touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.3
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Kentucky stats and betting info

Betting trends for Kentucky

  • Kentucky has gone 7-4-0 ATS this season.
  • In games they have played as at least 2.5-point underdogs this year, the Wildcats are 2-0 against the spread.
  • Six of Kentucky’s 11 games with a set total have hit the over (54.5%).
  • This season, four games Kentucky played finished with a combined score over 57 points.
  • The over/under for this game is 4.5 points more than the average over/under in Wildcats’ games this season (52.5 points).
  • The Wildcats rack up 31.0 more yards per game (422.8) than the Cardinals give up (391.8).
  • When Kentucky picks up more than 391.8 yards, the team is 5-1.
  • The Wildcats have turned the ball over 20 times this season, five more turnovers than the Cardinals have forced (15).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 231.9 (2551) 68
Rush yards 190.9 (2100) 40
Points scored 31.6 (348) 45
Pass yards against 220.3 (2423) 53
Rush yards against 115.5 (1270) 18
Points allowed 22.2 (244) 38

Key players for Kentucky

  • Will Levis leads Kentucky with 2,444 passing yards (222.2 ypg) on 202-of-307 passing with 23 touchdowns compared to 12 interceptions this season. He also adds 274 rushing yards (24.9 ypg) on 78 carries while scoring five touchdowns on the ground.
  • Christopher Rodriguez Jr. has carried the ball 189 times for a team-high 1,150 yards (104.5 per game), with eight touchdowns this year.
  • Wan’Dale Robinson’s 1,067 receiving yards (97.0 yards per game) lead all receivers on the team. He’s collected 85 receptions and seven touchdowns.

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