Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays: Best Odds and Preview for September 30, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | September 29, 2021, 11:48 pm

The Houston Astros (92-66) and the Tampa Bay Rays (98-60) meet on Thursday at 7:10 PM ET with the series tied 1-1. The Astros are favored (-190) to take the rubber match against the Rays (+160).

Houston is expected to start Lance McCullers Jr., while Tampa Bay has not named a starter.

Best Odds for Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Houston Astros and Tampa Bay Rays.

Astros Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Astros have been chosen as favorites in 131 games this year and have walked away with the win 80 times (61.1%) in those games.
  • Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 82 of their 158 opportunities.
  • The Astros have scored 837 runs this season, which ranks second in MLB.
  • In nine games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, Houston has a record of 5-4.
  • When it comes to the total, the Astros and their foes are 5-5 in their last 10 contests.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • McCullers gets the start for the Astros, his 28th of the season. He is 12-5 with a 3.17 ERA and 181 strikeouts in 156 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last pitched on Friday against the Angels, when he tossed six innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up two hits.
  • Over McCullers’ 27 starts, his team is 16-11.
  • McCullers’ starts went over the run total 14 times in 27 games with a set total this season.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Kyle Tucker 133 .291 .349 .547 28 88 143
Jose Siri 14 .289 .333 .556 4 9 13
Yordan Alvarez 140 .276 .344 .528 32 101 144
Yuli Gurriel 138 .317 .380 .457 14 79 165
Carlos Correa 145 .277 .361 .475 24 88 151
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Rays Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Rays have a 30-23 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 56.6% of those games).
  • In the 156 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Tampa Bay, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 80 times (80-68-8).
  • The Rays score the most runs in baseball (839 total, 5.3 per game).
  • Tampa Bay has a 2-1 record over the three games it was moneyline underdogs in its last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Rays and their opponents combined to go over the total two times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Nelson Cruz 85 .294 .359 .537 19 50 87
Mike Zunino 102 .214 .300 .559 32 61 69
Brandon Lowe 146 .243 .333 .503 35 90 127
Wander Franco 66 .290 .353 .477 7 36 76
Randy Arozarena 137 .272 .348 .461 20 69 140

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