Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres: Best Odds and Preview for September 5, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | September 5, 2021, 12:49 am

Wil Myers is only two hits away from his 100th of the season as his San Diego Padres (72-64) ready for a matchup against the Houston Astros (79-56) on Sunday at 4:10 PM ET. The Padres are underdogs (-103) against the Astros (-114).

Houston has Luis Garcia starting, while San Diego counters Chris Paddack.

Best Odds for Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Houston Astros and San Diego Padres in which the Astros are currently the clear pick among bettors at regulated sportsbooks to claim victory.

Astros vs Padres Moneyline Action

Astros vs Padres Moneyline Action
Astros Padres
% of Bets 68% 32%
% of Stake 73% 27%

Astros Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Astros have come away with 67 wins in the 110 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
  • Houston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 69 of their 135 opportunities.
  • The Astros have scored the second-most runs in the league this season with 707.
  • In nine games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, Houston has a record of 6-3.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on three occasions.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Garcia makes the start for the Astros, his 24th of the season. He is 10-6 with a 3.16 ERA and 150 strikeouts in 128 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Tuesday against the Mariners, when he threw five innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Over Garcia’s 23 starts, his team is 14-9.
  • Garcia has started 23 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in seven of them.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yordan Alvarez 118 .283 .344 .536 28 89 125
Kyle Tucker 110 .283 .336 .535 24 76 117
Yuli Gurriel 118 .314 .381 .467 13 71 138
Carlos Correa 124 .274 .364 .477 21 72 127
Jacob Meyers 25 .313 .333 .482 3 17 26
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Padres Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Padres are 8-18 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 30.8% of those games).
  • San Diego has played in 136 games with an over/under set, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 70 times (70-62-4).
  • The Padres have the No. 10 offense in MLB play scoring 4.6 runs per game (629 total runs).
  • In the last 10 games, San Diego was the moneyline underdog four times, but lost every matchup.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Paddack (7-6 with a 4.98 ERA and 95 strikeouts in 97 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Padres, his 21st of the season.
  • The right-hander’s most recent appearance was on Tuesday against the Diamondbacks, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
  • Paddack’s team is 13-7 in his 20 starts.
  • Paddack’s starts went over the run total 13 times in 20 games with a set total this season.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Fernando Tatis Jr. 104 .283 .362 .641 37 85 108
Adam Frazier 98 .324 .386 .448 4 32 125
Manny Machado 128 .276 .338 .493 24 89 131
Wil Myers 122 .263 .344 .457 17 57 98
Jake Cronenworth 132 .265 .335 .459 19 61 132

Pick for Astros vs. Padres

The Astros are favored to win over the Padres based on our in-depth games analysis combined with the bet split data from regulated betting sites.

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