Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres: Best Odds and Preview for September 3, 2021

By BestOdds Analyst | September 2, 2021, 10:49 pm

The San Diego Padres (71-63) will try to break a four-game home losing streak when they play the Houston Astros (78-55) on Friday at 10:10 PM ET. The Padres are not expected (+126) to end the streak when they take on the favored Astros (-146).

Houston’s Jose Urquidy and San Diego’s Jake Arrieta will take the mound first.

Best Odds for Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres

Welcome to the BestOdds’ betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Houston Astros and San Diego Padres in which the Astros are currently the pick among bettors at regulated sportsbooks to claim victory.

Astros vs Padres Moneyline Action

Astros vs Padres Moneyline Action
Astros Padres
% of Bets 79% 21%
% of Stake 68% 32%

Astros Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Astros have been victorous in 66, or 60.6%, of the 109 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
  • Houston and their opponents have gone over in 68 of their 133 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Astros are among the highest scoring teams in the league, ranking second with 699 total runs this season.
  • Houston has played as the favorite in 10 of its past 10 games and has gone 5-5 in those contests.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on three occasions.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Urquidy (6-3 with a 3.38 ERA and 66 strikeouts in 77 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Astros, his 15th of the season.
  • In his most recent appearance on Wednesday, June 30, the righty threw 1 1/3 innings against the Orioles, allowing one earned run while surrendering one hit.
  • Urquidy’s team is 9-5 over his 14 starts.
  • Urquidy’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in nine of 14 games.

Key Players

Yordan Alvarez 116 .280 .341 .533 28 89 123
Kyle Tucker 108 .278 .330 .517 22 73 113
Yuli Gurriel 116 .313 .379 .468 13 70 135
Carlos Correa 122 .277 .368 .477 20 69 126
Jacob Meyers 23 .313 .333 .488 3 16 25
BestOdds rating 9.4
$1,001 In Free Bets

Padres Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Padres have been the underdog on the moneyline 25 total times this season. They’ve finished 8-17 in those games.
  • San Diego has played in 134 games with a set over/under, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 69 times (69-62-3).
  • The Padres have the No. 11 offense in MLB play scoring 4.6 runs per game (616 total runs).
  • San Diego did not win a game as the moneyline underdog over the last 10 games in three tries.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Padres and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Arrieta (0-1) gets the starting nod for the Padres, his second this season.
  • The righty last pitched on Wednesday, Aug. 18 against the Rockies, when he went 3 1/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • His team has lost both of the games he’s appeared in this season.
  • Arrieta’s two starts with a total this season both went under.

Key Players

Fernando Tatis Jr. 102 .282 .357 .638 36 81 106
Adam Frazier 98 .324 .386 .448 4 32 125
Manny Machado 126 .274 .335 .486 23 86 128
Jake Cronenworth 130 .267 .336 .464 19 61 131
Wil Myers 120 .262 .341 .448 16 55 96

Pick for Astros vs. Padres

Bet split data from regulated betting sites combined with our in-depth games analysis favors the Astros to win over the Padres.

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