Best Player Prop Bets For NBA Finals Game 3

Brent Booher
June 7, 2023 6:29 PM

Game 3 from the NBA Finals takes place on Wednesday Night from the Kaseya Center in Miami as the Nuggets and Heat each look to take the momentum in this championship series with a 2-1 lead.

The Heat continued their incredible run in the playoffs with a 111-108 win in Game 2 on Sunday despite Nikola Jokic’s 41-point effort.

What’s in store for Game 3? Here are our favorite prop bets of the evening.

Nikola Jokic OVER 51.5 Pts + Rebs + Assists

The most apparent thing through two games of the NBA Finals is win or lose, the Heat don’t have many answers in slowing down the two-time NBA MVP.

In a Game 1 victory, Jokic sliced and diced the Heat defense with a 27-10-14 night.

In their Game 2 loss, Jokic put up 41-11-4.

A lot has been made about limiting ‘the Joker’ in the assist column, but when Jokic has put more of an emphasis on scoring he’s dominated there as well.

Jokic’s performance isn’t just a result of playing in Denver with one of the best home-court advantages in the sport either, he has topped the 51.5 PRA mark in five of the Nuggets seven road playoff games.

While Miami has seemingly found ways to disrupt the Nuggets supporting cast, they haven’t figured out a way to slow Jokic down. We expect that to continue tonight.

Best Odds: BetRivers (-109)

Gabe Vincent OVER 13.5 Points

Caleb Martin was the hero of the Eastern Conference Finals for the Heat, but he has seemingly surrendered hero duties to PG Gabe Vincent during the first two games of the Finals.

Vincent led all Miami scorers in Game 2 with a 23-point outing capped off by a 4-of-6 shooting performance from three-point range.

He’s shooting 9-of-16 from distance in the Finals so far and if the Nuggets perimeter defense does not improve, he’s likely getting more opportunities to continue that hot shooting.

Vincent has topped 13.5 points in five of his last six games this postseason and in three of four games against the Nuggets this season.

That’s enough reason for us to continue to ride the hot hand in Game 3.

Best Odds: FanDuel (-122)

Jamal Murray OVER 24.5 Points

While Jamal struggled to get going in Game 2, there is good news if you’re a Nuggets fan (or fan via your betting).

He rarely has two subpar games in a row.

This postseason Murray has topped the 24.5 points mark in three of his four games immediately following a playoff game in which he failed to top his points total.

That bodes well for a Nuggets team hunting for a big win in Game 3.

Looking for even more reasons to back this trend tonight?

Murray has topped 24.5 points in eight of his last 10 games, in six straight playoff games the Nuggets went on to win, and in his last five road playoff games.

If you like the Nuggets to get back on track, it stands to reason that Murray will be a big reason why.

If you like the Heat to take the 2-1 series lead, Murray topped 24.5 points in both road losses against the Suns earlier this postseason.

Best Odds: bet365 (-115)

Bam Adebayo OVER 18.5 Points

There’s just something about playing the Nuggets that Bam Adebayo seems to really enjoy.

Bam has scored 18.5 points or more in five of his last six games against the Nuggets, including both games during this NBA Finals, this after topping this mark in only two of their seven games against the Celtics.

As Nuggets’ head coach Mike Malone made very clear after the Nuggets Game 1 victory, they are quite comfortable in letting the Heat big man score, it’s the Heat three-point shooters they are more concerned about.

Well that’s good news if you’re a player prop bettor, as Bam is likely getting a lot of chances at topping 18.5 points again in Game 3.

Similar to our approach with Gabe Vincent, we’re riding the hot hand until it gives us a reason not to do it.

Best Odds: BetMGM (-140)

About the author

Social Media Manager – Die-hard Seahawk fan and overall lover of everything sports and sports betting. After building a vibrant football parody networ...

[Read full bio]
chevron up