Fresno State vs. San Jose State Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 13 Predictions

By Dan Watson | November 21, 2021, 4:38 pm

The Fresno State Bulldogs (8-3, 0-0 MWC) and San Jose State Spartans (5-6, 0-0 MWC) meet with the Valley Cup the prize on Thursday, November 25, 2021 at CEFCU Stadium. The Bulldogs are favorites, by 8.5 points. The total for this one is set at 53 points.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Fresno State stats and betting info

Betting trends for Fresno State

  • Fresno State has a 7-4-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Bulldogs have a 3-2 record against the spread when favored by 8.5 points or more this season.
  • In Fresno State’s 11 games with a set total, five have hit the over (45.5%).
  • Six Fresno State games this season have gone over Thursday’s over/under of 53 points.
  • This season, the average total for Bulldogs games is 58.7 points, 5.7 more than the over/under of 53 points for this contest.
  • The Bulldogs rack up 100.6 more yards per game (461.4) than the Spartans allow per matchup (360.8).
  • When Fresno State totals over 360.8 yards, the team is 7-2.
  • The Bulldogs have turned the ball over 10 more times (21 total) than the Spartans have forced a turnover (11) this season.
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 328.5 (3613) 9
Rush yards 132.9 (1462) 93
Points scored 33.0 (363) 31
Pass yards against 211.2 (2323) 39
Rush yards against 133.1 (1464) 36
Points allowed 21.3 (234) 32

Key players for Fresno State

  • Jake Haener leads Fresno State with 3,467 passing yards (315.2 ypg) on 276-of-413 passing with 28 touchdowns compared to nine interceptions this season.
  • Ronnie Rivers has carried the ball 148 times for a team-high 723 yards (65.7 per game), with five touchdowns this year. He’s also tacked on 29 catches for 273 yards (24.8 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Jalen Cropper’s team-leading 751 receiving yards (68.3 yards per game) have come on 69 receptions with 10 touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.3
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San Jose State stats and betting info

Betting trends for San Jose State

  • San Jose State has a 5-6-0 record against the spread this year.
  • The Spartans are 2-1 against the spread when an underdog by 8.5 points or more this season.
  • Out of San Jose State’s 11 games with a set total, six have hit the over (54.5%).
  • In San Jose State’s 11 games this season, three have finished with more combined scoring than Thursday’s point total of 53.
  • The over/under for this contest is 0.7 points more than the average over/under in Spartans’ games this season (52.3 points).
  • The Spartans collect 341.7 yards per game, only 2.6 fewer than the 344.3 the Bulldogs give up.
  • In games that San Jose State churns out more than 344.3 yards, the team is 4-3.
  • The Spartans have turned the ball over 21 times this season, one more turnover than the Bulldogs have forced (20).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 216.0 (2376) 85
Rush yards 125.7 (1383) 101
Points scored 21.0 (231) 111
Pass yards against 225.9 (2485) 63
Rush yards against 134.9 (1484) 42
Points allowed 25.3 (278) 58

Key players for San Jose State

  • Nick Starkel has thrown for 1,385 yards (125.9 ypg) to lead San Jose State, completing 52.9% of his passes and tossing nine touchdown passes and seven interceptions this season.
  • Tyler Nevens’ team-high 711 rushing yards (64.6 per game) have come on 155 carries, with seven touchdowns this year.
  • Derrick Deese, Jr.’s team-high 687 receiving yards (62.5 yards per game) have come on 44 receptions with four touchdowns.

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