East Carolina vs. Navy Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 12 Predictions


By Dan Watson | November 15, 2021, 12:40 am

In a battle of two conference rivals, the East Carolina Pirates (6-4, 0-0 AAC) will play the Navy Midshipmen (2-7, 0-0 AAC). The Pirates are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -4). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 46.5.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

East Carolina stats and betting info

Betting trends for East Carolina

  • East Carolina is 7-3-0 ATS this season.
  • The Pirates are 2-1 against the spread when favored by 4 points or more this season.
  • Three of East Carolina’s 10 games with a set total have hit the over (30%).
  • Seven East Carolina games this season have gone over Saturday’s total of 46.5 points.
  • On average, the Pirates have seen a 58.6 over/under in their games this season, 12.1 more points than the over/under in this contest.
  • The Pirates collect 78.5 more yards per game (435.5) than the Midshipmen give up per outing (357.0).
  • When East Carolina totals more than 357.0 yards, the team is 6-3.
  • The Pirates have turned the ball over 20 times this season, nine more turnovers than the Midshipmen have forced (11).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 262.5 (2625) 38
Rush yards 173.0 (1730) 59
Points scored 30.5 (305) 55
Pass yards against 243.6 (2436) 88
Rush yards against 147.4 (1474) 64
Points allowed 24.5 (245) 60

Key players for East Carolina

  • Holton Ahlers leads East Carolina with 2,502 passing yards (250.2 ypg) on 210-of-344 passing with 14 touchdowns compared to nine interceptions this season. He also adds 178 rushing yards (17.8 ypg) on 101 carries while scoring six touchdowns on the ground.
  • The team’s top rusher, Keaton Mitchell, has carried the ball 139 times for 983 yards (98.3 per game), with eight touchdowns this year. He’s also caught 18 passes for 215 yards (21.5 per game) and one touchdown.
  • Tyler Snead’s team-high 632 receiving yards (63.2 yards per game) have come on 56 receptions with two touchdowns.
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Navy stats and betting info

Betting trends for Navy

  • Navy is 5-4-0 ATS this year.
  • The Midshipmen have a 5-3 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 4 points or more this year.
  • Three of Navy’s nine games with a set total have hit the over (33.3%).
  • In Navy’s nine games this season, six have finished with more combined scoring than Saturday’s point total of 46.5.
  • A difference of 2.2 points separates the average total points bet in Midshipmen’s games (48.7 points) and this contest’s over/under (46.5 points).
  • The Midshipmen rack up 119.0 fewer yards per game (272.0) than the Pirates allow per matchup (391.0).
  • When Navy piles up over 391.0 yards, the team is 1-1.
  • This year the Midshipmen have seven turnovers, 12 fewer than the Pirates have takeaways (19).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 54.4 (490) 130
Rush yards 217.6 (1958) 16
Points scored 16.8 (151) 127
Pass yards against 223.0 (2007) 52
Rush yards against 134.0 (1206) 42
Points allowed 30.4 (274) 97

Key players for Navy

  • Tai Lavatai leads Navy with 273 passing yards (30.3 ypg) on 21-of-40 passing with two touchdowns compared to two interceptions this season. He also adds 235 rushing yards (26.1 ypg) on 126 carries while scoring five touchdowns on the ground.
  • The team’s top rusher, Isaac Ruoss, has carried the ball 133 times for 510 yards (56.7 per game), with two touchdowns this year.
  • Mychal Cooper’s 160 receiving yards (17.8 yards per game) lead all receivers on the team. He’s totaled eight receptions and one touchdown.

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