Denver Nuggets vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Odds & Game Analysis | December 9


By Lester Mackay | December 8, 2021 11:37 PM

The Denver Nuggets (12-12) are 1.5-point favorites for their contest with the San Antonio Spurs (8-15) on December 9, 2021, when two of the biggest stars in the NBA — the Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic and the Spurs’ Dejounte Murray — will be on show at AT&T Center.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the NBA matchup between the Denver Nuggets and San Antonio Spurs in which the Spurs are currently the pick among bettors at regulated sportsbooks to claim victory.

Denver Vs. San Antonio Moneyline Betting Action

Nuggets vs Spurs Moneyline Action
Nuggets Spurs
Bet % 43% 57%
Stake % 43% 57%

Nuggets stats and betting info

Betting trends for Denver

  • Denver is 10-14-0 ATS this season.
  • When they have played as at least 1.5-point favorites this season, the Nuggets are 4-5 against the spread.
  • Denver has hit the over in 12 of its 24 games with a set total (50%).
  • The Nuggets have a 6-4 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 60% of those games).
  • Denver is 6-4 (winning 60% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -118 or shorter.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Nuggets’ implied win probability is 54.1%.

Key players for Denver

  • Jokic: 26.3 PTS, 13.4 REB, 7.1 AST, 1.2 STL, 58.8 FG%, 36.1 3PT% (30-for-83)
  • Will Barton: 16.2 PTS, 44.2 FG%, 39 3PT% (57-for-146)
  • Aaron Gordon: 13.7 PTS, 51.2 FG%, 34.7 3PT% (25-for-72)
  • Monte Morris: 12 PTS, 47.5 FG%, 33.7 3PT% (32-for-95)
  • Jeff Green: 9.8 PTS, 48 FG%, 32.2 3PT% (19-for-59)

Nuggets Injuries: PJ Dozier: Out (ACL), Michael Porter Jr.: Out For Season (Back), Austin Rivers: Out (Health and safety protocols), Jamal Murray: Out (Knee)

Spurs stats and betting info

Betting trends for San Antonio

  • Denver is 10-14-0 against the spread this season.
  • When they have played as at least 1.5-point favorites this season, the Nuggets are 4-5 against the spread.
  • Denver has gone over in 12 of its 24 games with a set total (50%).
  • This season, the Spurs have been the underdog 18 times and won five, or 27.8%, of those games.
  • San Antonio is 5-13 this season when entering a game as the underdog by -103 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Spurs have a 50.7% chance to win.

Key players for San Antonio

  • Murray: 18.8 PTS, 8.4 REB, 8.4 AST, 2 STL, 44.7 FG%, 34.4 3PT% (32-for-93)
  • Derrick White: 13.3 PTS, 5.1 AST, 1.1 STL, 40.4 FG%, 29.8 3PT% (37-for-124)
  • Keldon Johnson: 14.4 PTS, 46.5 FG%, 40.6 3PT% (26-for-64)
  • Lonnie Walker IV: 9.9 PTS, 36.9 FG%, 28.6 3PT% (34-for-119)
  • Devin Vassell: 11.6 PTS, 1.2 STL, 46.8 FG%, 38.8 3PT% (33-for-85)

Spurs Injuries: Keldon Johnson: Day To Day (Ankle), Devin Vassell: Day To Day (Quad), Zach Collins: Out (Ankle)

Pick for Nuggets vs. Spurs

Our in-depth games analysis combined with the bet split data from regulated betting sites favors the Spurs to win over the Nuggets.

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