Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks Betting Odds & Game Analysis | November 12


By Lester Mackay | November 11, 2021, 11:37 pm

The Denver Nuggets (7-4) host the Atlanta Hawks (4-8) at Ball Arena, beginning at 9:00 PM ET on Friday, November 12, 2021. The Nuggets are 4.5-point favorites in the game.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the NBA matchup between the Denver Nuggets and Atlanta Hawks in which the Hawks are currently the pick among bettors at regulated sportsbooks to claim victory.

Denver Vs. Atlanta Moneyline Betting Action

Nuggets vs Hawks Moneyline Action
Nuggets Hawks
Bet % 31% 69%
Stake % 31% 69%

Nuggets stats and betting info

Betting trends for Denver

  • So far this season, Denver has compiled a 5-6-0 record against the spread.
  • The Nuggets are 0-3 against the spread when favored by 4.5 points or more this season.
  • Out of Denver’s 11 games with a set total, two have hit the over (18.2%).
  • The Nuggets have a 3-2 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 60% of those games).
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -188 or shorter, Denver has a 2-1 record (winning 66.7% of its games).
  • The Nuggets have an implied moneyline win probability of 65.3% in this matchup.

Key players for Denver

  • Nikola Jokic: 25.4 PTS, 13.6 REB, 5.7 AST, 1.6 STL, 60.9 FG%, 40.0 3PT% (16-for-40)
  • Will Barton: 17.5 PTS, 1.4 STL, 49.0 FG%, 43.3 3PT% (29-for-67)
  • Aaron Gordon: 11.6 PTS, 49.5 FG%, 29.0 3PT% (9-for-31)
  • Monte Morris: 10.8 PTS, 45.5 FG%, 31.8 3PT% (14-for-44)
  • Michael Porter Jr.: 9.9 PTS, 1.1 STL, 35.9 FG%, 20.8 3PT% (10-for-48)

Nuggets Injuries: Vlatko Cancar: Day To Day (Left Hip), Michael Porter Jr.: Out (Back), Jamal Murray: Out (Knee)

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Hawks stats and betting info

Betting trends for Atlanta

  • Denver has a 5-6-0 record against the spread this season.
  • The Nuggets have not yet covered the spread as favorites of 4.5 points or more this season (0-3).
  • Out of Denver’s 11 games with a set total, two have hit the over (18.2%).
  • The Hawks have been the underdog in five games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests.
  • Atlanta has not won as an underdog of +154 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.
  • The Hawks have a 39.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Key players for Atlanta

  • Trae Young: 24.0 PTS, 9.3 AST, 42.7 FG%, 33.3 3PT% (25-for-75)
  • John Collins: 15.5 PTS, 8.5 REB, 58.3 FG%, 45.5 3PT% (15-for-33)
  • Clint Capela: 9.9 PTS, 11.0 REB, 1.3 BLK, 52.1 FG%
  • Bogdan Bogdanovic: 12.4 PTS, 45.6 FG%, 40.7 3PT% (24-for-59)
  • Cameron Reddish: 12.3 PTS, 1.3 STL, 41.5 FG%, 38.9 3PT% (21-for-54)

Hawks Injuries: Bogdan Bogdanovic: Day To Day (Ankle), De’Andre Hunter: Day To Day (Wrist), Onyeka Okongwu: Out (Shoulder)

Pick for Nuggets vs. Hawks

Our in-depth games analysis paired with the betting split data provided by regulated betting sites favors the Hawks to win over the Nuggets.

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