Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: Best Odds and Preview for October 1, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | September 30, 2021, 9:46 pm

The Colorado Rockies (73-85) meet the Arizona Diamondbacks (50-108) a game after Trevor Story had a four-hit performance in a 10-5 win over the Nationals. The Rockies are favored (-115) in this matchup with the Diamondbacks (-105), which starts at 9:40 PM ET on Friday.

Jon Gray takes the mound first for Colorado, and Humberto Castellanos is Arizona’s pick to start.

Best Odds for Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks.

Rockies Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Rockies have been victorous in 29, or 69%, of the 42 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
  • Contests with Colorado have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 64 of 158 chances this season.
  • The Rockies have scored 724 runs (4.6 per game) this season, which ranks 12th in MLB.
  • Colorado has played as the favorite in three of its past 10 games and has gone 2-1 in those contests.
  • In their last 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, the Rockies and their foes are 3-7 when it comes to hitting the over.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Rockies will send Gray (8-12) out for his 29th start of the season. He is 8-12 with a 4.34 ERA and 150 strikeouts over 145 innings pitched.
  • The righty last appeared on Sunday against the Giants, when he went 4 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • In Gray’s 28 starts, his team is 10-18.
  • Gray’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 10 of 28 contests.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
C.J. Cron 139 .277 .371 .528 28 90 128
Trevor Story 140 .255 .333 .479 24 74 132
Brendan Rodgers 99 .281 .326 .465 15 50 105
Ryan McMahon 147 .254 .333 .452 23 85 131
Elias Díaz 105 .245 .310 .466 18 43 82
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Diamondbacks Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Diamondbacks have won 39 of the 136 games they were the moneyline underdog this season (28.7%).
  • Arizona has played in 158 games with an over/under set, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 85 times (85-68-5).
  • The Diamondbacks score the 25th-most runs in baseball (652 total, 4.1 per game).
  • Arizona has a 2-8 record from the 10 games it was the underdog on the moneyline over its last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Diamondbacks combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total six times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Castellanos (2-2 with a 4.28 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 40 innings pitched) gets the start for the Diamondbacks, his seventh of the season.
  • The righty’s most recent appearance was on Saturday against the Dodgers, when he threw five innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Over Castellanos’ six starts, his team is 4-2.
  • Castellanos has had six starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and four of those matchups finished over the total.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ketel Marte 86 .317 .379 .526 13 47 103
Geraldo Perdomo 7 .313 .450 .375 0 0 5
Daulton Varsho 88 .243 .318 .442 11 36 65
Josh Rojas 135 .264 .341 .414 11 43 125
Carson Kelly 94 .232 .339 .406 13 43 68

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