Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Best Odds and Preview for October 3, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | October 2, 2021, 10:45 pm

Nicholas Castellanos leads the Cincinnati Reds (82-79) into a matchup with Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates (61-100) on Sunday at 3:05 PM ET at PNC Park. Castellanos is batting .308, the fifth-best batting average in the league, for the favored Reds (-160), while Reynolds ranks eighth in MLB play with a .303 batting average this season for the underdog Pirates (+140).

Cincinnati has Reiver Sanmartin expected to start, while Pittsburgh has yet to name a starter.

Best Odds for Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates.

Reds Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Reds have come away with 56 wins in the 100 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
  • Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 81 of their 161 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Reds are among the highest scoring teams in the league, ranking ninth with 774 total runs this season.
  • Cincinnati has competed as the favorite in eight of its past 10 games and has gone 4-4 in those matchups.
  • When it comes to the total, the Reds and their foes are 6-4 in their previous 10 contests.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Reds will send Sanmartin (1-0) to the mound for his second start of the season.
  • The left-hander last appeared on Monday against the Pirates, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up five hits.
  • His team won the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Sanmartin’s lone start with a total this season went over.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Joey Votto 128 .266 .377 .560 35 96 118
Nicholas Castellanos 137 .308 .360 .574 34 99 163
TJ Friedl 13 .333 .406 .481 1 2 9
Jonathan India 149 .269 .376 .458 21 69 142
Delino DeShields 22 .261 .382 .435 1 6 12
BestOdds rating 9.4
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Pirates Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have been the underdog on the moneyline 149 total times this season. They’ve finished 53-96 in those games.
  • Pittsburgh has combined with opponents to go over the total 79 times this season for a 79-75-7 record against the over/under.
  • The Pirates score the fewest runs in baseball (598 total, 3.7 per game).
  • Pittsburgh has a 3-6 record across the nine games it was moneyline underdogs in its last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Pirates combined with their opponents to go over the run total seven times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Bryan Reynolds 158 .303 .391 .523 24 90 169
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo 41 .268 .350 .537 8 25 33
Oneil Cruz 1 .400 .400 .400 0 1 2
Michael Chavis 11 .316 .316 .474 1 5 12
Ben Gamel 110 .255 .353 .401 8 26 82

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