Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Best Odds and Preview for October 2, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | October 1, 2021, 10:46 pm

Eugenio Suarez is only three hits away from his 100th of the season as his Cincinnati Reds (82-78) ready for a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates (60-100) on Saturday at 6:35 PM ET. The Reds are favored (-181) over the Pirates (+156).

Cincinnati’s Tyler Mahle gets the start against Pittsburgh’s Max Kranick.

Best Odds for Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates.

Reds Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Reds have won in 56, or 56.6%, of the 99 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
  • Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 80 of their 160 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Reds have scored the ninth-most runs in the league this season with 774.
  • In eight games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, Cincinnati has a record of 5-3.
  • When it comes to the total, the Reds and their opponents are 6-4 in their previous 10 games.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Reds will send Mahle (13-6) out for his 33rd start of the season. He is 13-6 with a 3.54 ERA and 204 strikeouts over 175 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last outing on Sunday against the Nationals, the righty went six innings, allowing no earned runs while surrendering three hits.
  • In Mahle’s 32 starts, his team is 20-12.
  • Mahle has had 32 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined go over the total in 15 of those outings.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Joey Votto 127 .268 .376 .562 35 96 118
Nicholas Castellanos 136 .308 .362 .570 33 97 162
TJ Friedl 12 .333 .393 .458 1 2 8
Jonathan India 149 .269 .376 .458 21 69 142
Delino DeShields 21 .256 .373 .442 1 6 11
BestOdds rating 9.4
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Pirates Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have gone 52-96 in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 35.1% of those games).
  • Pittsburgh has combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 78 times this season for a 78-75-7 record against the over/under.
  • The Pirates score the fewest runs in baseball (598 total, 3.7 per game).
  • Pittsburgh has a 3-6 record from the nine games it was the underdog on the moneyline over its last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Pirates and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Kranick makes the start for the Pirates, his ninth of the season. He is 2-3 with a 6.23 ERA and 30 strikeouts in 34 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Sunday against the Phillies, the righty tossed five scoreless innings while surrendering four hits.
  • Kranick’s team has a 3-5 record in his starts this season.
  • Kranick has started eight games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in five of them.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Bryan Reynolds 157 .298 .388 .515 24 89 165
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo 40 .275 .348 .550 8 25 33
Michael Chavis 10 .303 .303 .455 1 3 10
Ben Gamel 109 .248 .347 .396 8 26 79
Colin Moran 97 .265 .340 .400 10 50 82

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