Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Best Odds and Preview for October 1, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | September 30, 2021, 9:45 pm

Both the Cincinnati Reds (82-77) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (59-100) head into Friday’s matchup on losing streaks. The favored Reds (-170) have lost two straight games, while the underdog Pirates (+150) are losers of their last two.

Cincinnati has Luis Castillo set to start, while Pittsburgh will send out Wil Crowe.

Best Odds for Cincinnati Reds vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates.

Reds Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Reds have been favorites in 98 games this season and have come away with the win 56 times (57.1%) in those contests.
  • Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 79 of their 159 opportunities.
  • The Reds are among the highest scoring teams in the league, ranking eighth with 772 total runs this season.
  • In seven games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, Cincinnati has a record of 5-2.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on six occasions.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Castillo makes the start for the Reds, his 33rd of the season. He is 8-16 with a 4.05 ERA and 187 strikeouts through 182 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last time out on Thursday, Sept. 23, the right-hander tossed six innings against the Nationals, allowing two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • Castillo’s team has won 11 of his 32 starts.
  • Castillo’s starts went over the run total 16 times in 32 games with a set total this season.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Joey Votto 126 .270 .379 .568 35 96 118
TJ Friedl 11 .381 .417 .524 1 2 8
Nicholas Castellanos 135 .310 .362 .574 33 97 162
Jonathan India 148 .270 .377 .461 21 69 142
Delino DeShields 21 .256 .373 .442 1 6 11
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Pirates Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have put together a 51-96 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 34.7% of those games).
  • In the 159 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Pittsburgh, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 77 times (77-75-7).
  • The Pirates have the No. 30 offense in MLB action scoring 3.7 runs per game (589 total runs).
  • Pittsburgh was the moneyline underdog for nine of its last 10 games, and finished 2-7 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Pirates combined with their opponents to go over the run total six times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Crowe gets the start for the Pirates, his 25th of the season. He is 4-8 with a 5.77 ERA and 102 strikeouts in 110 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out — in relief on Wednesday — the right-hander tossed 2/3 innings against the Cubs while surrendering hits.
  • Crowe’s team has won 11 of his 24 starts.
  • Crowe has had 24 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in 11 of those games.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo 39 .276 .346 .560 8 24 32
Bryan Reynolds 156 .298 .387 .515 24 89 165
Michael Chavis 9 .323 .323 .484 1 3 10
Ben Gamel 108 .250 .347 .399 8 26 79
Colin Moran 96 .265 .341 .402 10 50 81

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