Cincinnati Reds vs. Detroit Tigers: Best Odds and Preview for September 5, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | September 4, 2021, 10:47 pm

Miguel Cabrera sits at 98 hits this season, and will try to notch his 100th when his Detroit Tigers (64-73) take on the Cincinnati Reds (73-64) on Sunday at 1:10 PM ET. The Tigers are the underdog (+178) in this contest against the Reds (-215).

Cincinnati’s Luis Castillo starts against Detroit’s Casey Mize.

Best Odds for Cincinnati Reds vs Detroit Tigers

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and Detroit Tigers in which the Reds are currently the clear pick among bettors at regulated sportsbooks to claim victory.

Reds vs Tigers Moneyline Action

Reds vs Tigers Moneyline Action
Reds Tigers
% of Bets 92% 8%
% of Stake 71% 29%

Reds Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Reds have won in 48, or 59.3%, of the 81 contests they have been named as odds-on favorites in this year.
  • Cincinnati and their opponents have hit the over in 71 of their 137 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Reds have scored the fifth-most runs in the league this season with 677.
  • Cincinnati has played as the favorite in eight of its past 10 games and has gone 4-4 in those contests.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on four occasions.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Castillo (7-14) gets the starting nod for the Reds in his 29th start of the season. He has a 4.30 ERA in 157 innings pitched, with 159 strikeouts.
  • The righty’s most recent time out was on Monday against the Cardinals, when he went six innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Castillo’s team has put together a 10-18 record in his 28 starts.
  • Castillo’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 15 of 28 games.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Max Schrock 27 .345 .390 .564 2 7 19
Nicholas Castellanos 114 .320 .370 .577 26 78 141
Joey Votto 107 .272 .367 .549 28 85 103
Jonathan India 126 .271 .380 .460 18 61 119
Tyler Naquin 121 .272 .335 .487 19 70 107
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Tigers Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Tigers are 51-64 in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 44.3% of those games).
  • Detroit has combined with opponents to go over the total 60 times this season for a 60-72-5 record against the over/under.
  • The Tigers are the 18th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.4 runs per game (595 total).
  • Detroit has a 3-7 record across the 10 games it was moneyline underdogs in its last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Tigers and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Mize gets the start for the Tigers, his 26th of the season. He is 7-7 with a 3.59 ERA and 104 strikeouts through 135 1/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday against the Twins, when he went six innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing five hits.
  • Mize’s team has won 14 of his 25 starts.
  • Mize has had 25 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and seven of those games hit the over.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Dustin Garneau 8 .296 .321 .741 3 5 8
Jeimer Candelario 127 .278 .353 .443 12 53 133
Eric Haase 78 .236 .288 .493 20 53 66
Akil Baddoo 95 .256 .322 .458 12 49 85
Robbie Grossman 131 .238 .353 .425 21 61 112

Pick for Reds vs. Tigers

Bet split data provided by regulated betting sites paired with our in-depth games analysis favors the Reds to win over the Tigers.

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