Cincinnati Reds vs. Detroit Tigers: Best Odds and Preview for September 4, 2021

By BestOdds Analyst | September 3, 2021, 11:48 pm

Dustin Garneau leads the Detroit Tigers (64-72) into a matchup against the Cincinnati Reds (72-64) following his two-home run performance in a 15-5 win over the Reds. The Reds are favored on the moneyline (-206) for this game against the underdog Tigers (+173), which begins at 7:10 PM ET on Saturday.

Tyler Mahle starts for Cincinnati while Detroit will counter with Matthew Boyd.

Best Odds for Cincinnati Reds vs Detroit Tigers

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Cincinnati Reds and Detroit Tigers in which the Reds are currently the clear pick among bettors at regulated sportsbooks to claim victory.

Reds vs Tigers Moneyline Action

Reds vs Tigers Moneyline Action
Reds Tigers
% of Bets 68% 32%
% of Stake 80% 20%

Reds Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Reds have been victorous in 47, or 58.8%, of the 80 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 70 of their 136 opportunities.
  • The Reds are among the highest scoring teams in the league, ranking fifth with 677 total runs this season.
  • Cincinnati has played as the favorite in seven of its past 10 games and has gone 3-4 in those contests.
  • In their last 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, the Reds and their opponents are 4-6 when it comes to hitting the over.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Mahle (10-5 with a 3.64 ERA and 174 strikeouts in 148 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Reds, his 28th of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday, the right-hander went seven innings against the Marlins, giving up two earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • Over Mahle’s 27 starts, his team is 16-11.
  • Mahle has had 27 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined hit the over in 13 of those games.

Key Players

Delino DeShields 2 .400 .400 .600 0 2 2
Nicholas Castellanos 113 .321 .371 .578 26 78 140
Max Schrock 26 .333 .379 .556 2 7 18
Joey Votto 106 .271 .365 .551 28 84 102
Jonathan India 125 .269 .378 .457 18 61 117
BestOdds rating 9.4
$1,001 In Free Bets

Tigers Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Tigers have won 51 of the 114 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (44.7%).
  • Detroit has combined with opponents to go over the total 59 times this season for a 59-72-5 record against the over/under.
  • The Tigers are the 17th-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.4 runs per game (595 total).
  • Detroit went 4-6 over the 10 games it was the underdog on the moneyline in its last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Tigers and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Boyd makes the start for the Tigers, his 15th of the season. He is 3-7 with a 3.50 ERA and 61 strikeouts in 74 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out was on Sunday against the Blue Jays, when the left-hander threw four innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • Boyd’s team has a 6-8 record in his starts this season.
  • Boyd’s starts hit the over on the run total six times in 14 games with a set total this season.

Key Players

Dustin Garneau 7 .292 .292 .750 3 4 7
Jeimer Candelario 126 .279 .354 .445 12 53 133
Akil Baddoo 94 .257 .322 .459 12 49 85
Robbie Grossman 130 .236 .352 .423 21 61 110
Eric Haase 77 .235 .285 .484 19 50 65

Pick for Reds vs. Tigers

Bet split data provided by regulated betting sites combined with our in-depth statistical analysis points to the Reds being favored to win over the Tigers.

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