Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Best Odds and Preview for September 5, 2021

By BestOdds Analyst | September 5, 2021, 5:48 am

The Pittsburgh Pirates (48-88) bring a five-game losing streak into a home contest against the Chicago Cubs (62-75) on Sunday at 2:20 PM ET. The Cubs are favored (-147) to hand the underdog Pirates (+129) another loss.

Chicago’s Zach Davies and Pittsburgh’s Wil Crowe will take the mound first.

Best Odds for Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates.

Cubs Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Cubs have been chosen as favorites in 61 games this year and have walked away with the win 37 times (60.7%) in those games.
  • Contests with Chicago have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 61 of 137 chances this season.
  • The Cubs rank 21st in the league with 584 total runs scored this season.
  • Chicago has been the favorite in three of their last 10 contests and won each of those games.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on six occasions.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Cubs are sending Davies (6-10) to the mound for his 29th start of the season. He is 6-10 with a 4.91 ERA and 105 strikeouts over 135 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the Twins, when he went 4 1/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up six hits.
  • Davies’ team is 13-15 in his 28 starts.
  • Davies has started 28 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 13 of them.

Key Players

Frank Schwindel 31 .357 .393 .678 9 25 41
Patrick Wisdom 88 .245 .309 .553 25 50 67
Rafael Ortega 76 .299 .351 .486 9 30 64
Robinson Chirinos 36 .247 .351 .481 4 12 20
Willson Contreras 104 .224 .330 .414 17 40 78
BestOdds rating 9.4
$1,001 In Free Bets

Pirates Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have won 33.6% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (43-85).
  • In the 136 games oddsmakers have set an over/under for Pittsburgh, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 65 times (65-65-6).
  • The Pirates have the No. 30 offense in baseball scoring 3.6 runs per game (491 total runs).
  • Pittsburgh has a 2-8 record across the 10 games it was moneyline underdogs in its last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Pirates and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total six times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Crowe (3-7 with a 5.46 ERA and 88 strikeouts in 94 innings pitched) makes the start for the Pirates, his 21st of the season.
  • In his most recent outing on Sunday against the Cardinals, the righty tossed five innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • Crowe’s team has won nine of his 20 starts.
  • Crowe’s starts went over the run total nine times in 20 games with a set total this season.

Key Players

Yoshitomo Tsutsugo 17 .268 .311 .829 6 12 11
Bryan Reynolds 133 .296 .374 .506 21 77 141
Colin Moran 75 .283 .341 .426 8 38 69
Ben Gamel 88 .250 .336 .398 6 19 64
Wilmer Difo 92 .271 .337 .378 3 20 51

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