Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: Best Odds and Preview for September 30, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | September 29, 2021, 10:46 pm

The Chicago Cubs (68-90) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (59-99) at 6:35 PM ET on Thursday at PNC Park. The Cubs are favored (-125) to break the 1-1 tie and take the series over the Pirates (+105).

Chicago is expected to start Justin Steele, while Pittsburgh has yet to name a starter.

Best Odds for Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates.

Cubs Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Cubs have been favorites in 64 games this season and have come away with the win 39 times (60.9%) in those contests.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 75 of their 158 opportunities.
  • The Cubs have scored 684 runs (4.3 per game) this season, which ranks 21st in MLB.
  • Chicago has been favored just two times in their last 10 contests and split those games 1-1.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, the Cubs and their opponents are 8-2 when it comes to hitting the over.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Steele (3-4 with a 4.86 ERA and 52 strikeouts in 50 innings pitched) gets the start for the Cubs, his ninth of the season.
  • In his last outing on Friday against the Cardinals, the lefty threw five innings, allowing six earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Steele’s team has a 2-6 record in his eight starts.
  • Steele has had eight starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined go over the total in five of those games.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Trent Giambrone 1 1.000 1.000 1.000 0 0 1
Frank Schwindel 52 .358 .402 .642 13 38 73
Trayce Thompson 9 .167 .375 .556 2 2 3
Rafael Ortega 96 .286 .353 .456 10 32 81
Willson Contreras 124 .233 .335 .432 21 56 95
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Pirates Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have compiled a 51-95 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 34.9% of those games).
  • In the 158 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Pittsburgh, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 76 times (76-75-7).
  • The Pirates score the fewest runs in baseball (589 total, 3.7 per game).
  • Pittsburgh has a 2-7 record across the nine games it was the underdog on the moneyline in its last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings — all of which had a set run total — the Pirates and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yoshitomo Tsutsugo 38 .286 .357 .580 8 24 32
Bryan Reynolds 155 .298 .378 .516 24 89 164
Michael Chavis 8 .333 .333 .519 1 3 9
Ben Gamel 108 .250 .345 .399 8 26 79
Colin Moran 95 .264 .339 .403 10 50 80

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