Buffalo vs. Ball State Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 13 Predictions


By Dan Watson | November 21, 2021, 4:37 pm

In a battle of two conference rivals, the Ball State Cardinals (5-6, 0-0 MAC) will face off against the Buffalo Bulls (4-7, 0-0 MAC). The Cardinals are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6.5). The expected point total for the game is 58.5.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Ball State stats and betting info

Betting trends for Ball State

  • Ball State is 3-7-0 ATS this season.
  • The Cardinals are winless against the spread (0-1) when playing as at least 6.5-point favorites.
  • The teams have hit the over in three of Ball State’s 10 games with a set total .
  • Ball State and its opponents have combined to go over Tuesday’s over/under of 58.5 points three times this season.
  • On average, the over/under in Cardinals games is 2.9 points fewer than the over/under of 58.5 points in this contest.
  • The Cardinals rack up 86.8 fewer yards per game (345.5) than the Bulls allow per matchup (432.3).
  • The Cardinals have 10 giveaways this season, while the Bulls have 12 takeaways .
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 202.7 (2230) 97
Rush yards 142.8 (1571) 86
Points scored 24.8 (273) 96
Pass yards against 251.5 (2766) 98
Rush yards against 171.5 (1886) 95
Points allowed 28.6 (315) 86

Key players for Ball State

  • Drew Plitt has 2,072 passing yards (188.4 ypg) to lead Ball State, completing 60.5% of his passes and throwing 16 touchdown passes and five interceptions this season. He’s also helped out on the ground with 148 rushing yards (13.5 ypg) on 65 carries.
  • Carson Steele has carried the ball 152 times for a team-high 784 yards (71.3 per game), with six touchdowns this year.
  • Justin Hall’s team-high 606 receiving yards (55.1 yards per game) have come on 59 receptions with five touchdowns.
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Buffalo stats and betting info

Betting trends for Buffalo

  • Buffalo has covered the spread just twice in 10 opportunities this season.
  • The Bulls are 1-3-1 against the spread when an underdog by 6.5 points or more this season.
  • Buffalo has hit the over in five of its 10 games with a set total (50%).
  • This season, five of Buffalo’s games have finished with a combined score higher than 58.5 points.
  • Bulls games have an over/under of 56.9 points this season, 1.6 points fewer than the total points bet for this game.
  • The Bulls rack up 415.0 yards per game, only 7.9 fewer than the 422.9 the Cardinals give up.
  • When Buffalo picks up more than 422.9 yards, the team is 2-2.
  • The Bulls have 15 turnovers this season, equal to the number of takeaways for the Cardinals.
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 218.3 (2401) 80
Rush yards 196.7 (2164) 33
Points scored 31.6 (348) 45
Pass yards against 225.3 (2478) 60
Rush yards against 207.0 (2277) 114
Points allowed 30.8 (339) 92

Key players for Buffalo

  • Kyle Vantrease has thrown for 1,863 yards (169.4 ypg) to lead Buffalo, completing 61.3% of his passes and tossing eight touchdown passes and six interceptions this season. He’s also contributed in the ground game with 115 rushing yards (10.5 ypg) on 31 carries with three rushing touchdowns.
  • The team’s top rusher, Dylan McDuffie, has carried the ball 189 times for 985 yards (89.5 per game), with 11 touchdowns this year.
  • Quian Williams’ 805 receiving yards (73.2 yards per game) pace all receivers on the team. He’s totaled 61 receptions and two touchdowns.

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