Tom Brady Vs. Buffalo Bill


By Malcolm Darnley | December 9, 2021, 3:36 pm

From 2001 until today, Tom Brady has played 35 games against the Buffalo Bills, all of them while he was with the New England Patriots.

The G.O.A.T has compiled an incredible 32-3 record all-time against Buffalo.

Brady and his Tampa Bay Buccaneers are about to host the Bills for the first time with #12 under center this coming Sunday.

Let’s take a closer look at just how impressive TB12’s first 35 career starts against Buffalo actually were.

Overall Record vs Buffalo At Home (Foxborough):

  • In 17 starts, Brady is 16-1 overall. (94%)
  • Brady is 8-7-2 ATS in those 17 starts (53%)
  • Brady is 16-1 straight up as a favorite and has not been an underdog in NE against Buffalo.
  • Overs are 8 for 17 when Brady starts in Foxborough against Buffalo and Unders are 9 for 17.

*Brady has a career-winning percentage of 76%. He is 18% better when starting at Home against the Bills.

Overall Record vs Buffalo On The Road (Buffalo):

  • In 18 starts, Brady is 16-2 overall. (89%)
  • Brady is 12-5-1 ATS in those 18 starts (71%)
  • Brady is 14-1 straight up as a favorite and 2-1 straight up as an underdog
  • Overs are 8 for 18 when Brady starts in Buffalo and Unders are 10 for 18.

*Even on the road, Brady has a 13% better winning percentage in Buffalo than his career mark of 76%.

Home Game Stats vs Buffalo:

  • Brady has thrown for 3,705 yards in his 17 games against the Bills in Foxborough.
  • Brady is averaging 218 yards passing per game at home vs Buffalo. For his career, Brady is averaging 265 yards passing per game.
  • Brady has thrown for 32 TD’s in 17 games, an average of 1.9 TD’s per game. For his career, Brady has averaged 1.9 passing TD’s per game.

**Interesting to note that Brady is averaging just under 220 yards passing per game at home vs Buffalo. Almost 50 yards below his career average of 265 yards passing per game.

Stats on the Road in Buffalo:

  • Brady has thrown for 4,964 yards in his 18 games in Buffalo. With only 34 yards passing in his next game, he will reach 5,000 passing yards as a visiting QB.
  • Brady is averaging 276 yards passing per game in Buffalo. 11 yards more than his career average of 265 yards passing per game.
  • Brady has thrown for 38 TD’s in 18 games in Buffalo, an average of 2.1 TD’s per game. For his career, Brady has averaged 1.9 passing TD’s per game.

*The 4,964 passing yards equates to 2.8miles of passing yards in Buffalo.

More Stats At Home vs Buffalo:

  • It should be noted that in his lone loss at home vs the Bills, the Patriots were resting starters for the playoffs and Brady only played the first half of the game.
  • Brady is 6-1 in games he has thrown for less than 200 yards against Buffalo at Home.
  • Brady is 3-0 in games he has thrown for more than 300 yards against Buffalo at Home.

*It’s hard to believe that Brady has only thrown for more than 300 yards at home vs the Bills three times in 17 games.

It’s harder to believe that Brady has thrown for under 200 yards 7 times when playing Buffalo at home.

More Stats On The Road vs Buffalo:

  • In his 16 wins (in Buffalo) Brady has thrown a total of 7 INT’s.
  • In his two losses, Brady threw 8 INT’s.
  • Brady is 4-1 in games he has thrown for less than 200 yards. (in Buffalo)
  • Brady is 7-1 in games he has thrown for more than 300 yards. (in Buffalo)

*Interesting that Brady has five more 300+ yard passing games on the road compared to at home vs Buffalo.

More Crazy Road Stats:

  • In 28 regular season starts Josh Allen has 18 wins at home in Buffalo. That is the most wins in Buffalo by any QB since the start of the 2001 season.
  • With 16 wins in 18 starts, Tom Brady is alone in second place (behind Allen) for most career wins in Buffalo since the start of the 2001 season. (Let’s remember Brady only gets to visit there once a year.)
  • The great Jim Kelly holds the all-time record with 58 wins while playing in Buffalo.

Buffalo Quarterbacks vs Brady:

Kyle Orton 1-1

Drew Bledsoe 1-5

Ryan Fitzpatrick 1-6

Tyrod Taylor 0-5

JP Losman 0-4

Josh Allen 0-3

Trent Edwards 0-2

Thaddeus Lewis 0-1

Alex Van Pelt 0-1

Rob Johnson 0-1

Kelly Holcomb 0-1

EJ Manuel 0-1

Derek Anderson 0-1

*Only the great Kyle Orton doesn’t have a losing record against Brady. It should be noted that Orton’s lone win against Brady came in the final week of the regular season. New England rested players and Brady played only the first half.