Boston Red Sox vs. Washington Nationals: Best Odds and Preview for October 3, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | October 3, 2021, 3:46 am

Sportsbooks don’t expect the Washington Nationals (65-96) (-210 moneyline odds) to break their four-game losing streak when they face the Boston Red Sox (91-70) (-210 moneyline odds) on Sunday at 3:05 PM ET.

Boston’s Chris Sale and Washington’s Joan Adon pitch first for their squads in this matchup.

Best Odds for Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Boston Red Sox and Washington Nationals.

Red Sox Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have come away with 63 wins in the 106 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
  • Boston’s games have gone over the total in 72 of their 161 opportunities.
  • The Red Sox are among the highest scoring teams in the league, ranking fourth with 822 total runs this season.
  • Boston has competed as the favorite in nine of its past 10 games and has gone 5-4 in those matchups.
  • In their previous 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to clear the over/under on two occasions.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Sale (5-1) takes the mound first for the Red Sox in his ninth start of the season. He’s put together a 2.90 ERA in 40 1/3 innings pitched, with 45 strikeouts.
  • His last appearance came on Tuesday against the Orioles, when the left-hander tossed 5 1/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing four hits.
  • Sale’s team is 6-2 in his eight starts.
  • Sale has started eight contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Kyle Schwarber 112 .265 .371 .556 32 71 105
José Iglesias 19 .339 .393 .500 1 7 19
Rafael Devers 155 .276 .351 .529 36 111 162
Xander Bogaerts 143 .296 .371 .496 23 79 155
J.D. Martínez 147 .285 .347 .517 28 99 162
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Nationals Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have won 31 of the 103 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (30.1%).
  • In the 160 games bookmakers have set an over/under for Washington, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 74 times (74-81-5).
  • The Nationals have the No. 16 offense in MLB play scoring 4.5 runs per game (719 total runs).
  • Washington was the moneyline underdog for each of its last 10 games, and finished 3-7 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Nationals and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total five times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Adon makes his first start of the season for the Nationals.
  • The right-hander will make his MLB debut. He’s 23 years old.
  • He did not pitch in a contest last season with a total set by oddsmakers.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 150 .315 .467 .538 29 95 157
Lane Thomas 43 .276 .368 .500 7 27 48
Josh Bell 143 .259 .344 .473 27 88 128
Ryan Zimmerman 109 .246 .286 .476 14 45 62
Riley Adams 41 .224 .361 .388 2 10 22

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