Boston Red Sox vs. Washington Nationals: Best Odds and Preview for October 2, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | October 1, 2021, 10:45 pm

Sportsbooks don’t expect the Washington Nationals (65-95) (-165 moneyline odds) to stop their three-game losing streak when they take on the Boston Red Sox (90-70) (-165 moneyline odds) on Saturday at 4:05 PM ET.

Washington has Josiah Gray projected to start, while Boston has yet to name a starter.

Best Odds for Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Boston Red Sox and Washington Nationals.

Red Sox Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have come away with 62 wins in the 105 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
  • Boston and their opponents have gone over in 72 of their 160 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Red Sox have scored 813 runs this season, which ranks fourth in MLB.
  • Boston has competed as the favorite in nine of its past 10 games and has gone 5-4 in those matchups.
  • When it comes to the over/under, the Red Sox and their foes are 3-7 in their previous 10 contests.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Kyle Schwarber 111 .265 .370 .555 32 71 104
José Iglesias 19 .339 .393 .500 1 7 19
Rafael Devers 154 .277 .352 .527 35 110 161
J.D. Martínez 146 .286 .348 .519 28 99 162
Xander Bogaerts 142 .295 .368 .496 23 79 154
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Nationals Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have won 30.4% of the games this season they were the underdog on the moneyline (31-71).
  • Washington has played in 159 games with an over/under set, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 74 times (74-80-5).
  • The Nationals have the No. 15 offense in MLB action scoring 4.5 runs per game (714 total runs).
  • Washington has a 4-6 record across the 10 games it was moneyline underdogs in its last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups — all of which had a set run total — the Nationals and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Gray makes the start for the Nationals, his 13th of the season. He is 2-2 with a 5.85 ERA and 69 strikeouts in 64 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last outing on Tuesday against the Rockies, the righty threw 5 1/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while surrendering four hits.
  • Gray’s team is 4-7 in his 11 starts.
  • Gray’s starts went over the run total seven times in 11 games with a set total this season.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 149 .317 .470 .541 29 94 157
Lane Thomas 42 .282 .372 .512 7 27 48
Josh Bell 142 .259 .345 .475 27 88 127
Ryan Zimmerman 108 .243 .281 .470 14 45 61
Riley Adams 41 .224 .361 .388 2 10 22

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