Boston Red Sox vs. Washington Nationals: Best Odds and Preview for October 1, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | September 30, 2021, 10:46 pm

Bobby Dalbec is only one hit away from his 100th of the season as his Boston Red Sox (89-70) ready for a matchup against the Washington Nationals (65-94) on Friday at 7:05 PM ET. The Red Sox are favored (-192) over the Nationals (+164).

Boston has Eduardo Rodriguez starting, and Washington will send out Josh Rogers.

Best Odds for Boston Red Sox vs Washington Nationals

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Boston Red Sox and Washington Nationals.

Red Sox Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have been victorous in 61, or 58.7%, of the 104 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
  • Boston and their opponents have hit the over in 72 of their 159 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Red Sox have scored the fourth-most runs in the league this season with 813.
  • In nine games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, Boston has a record of 5-4.
  • In their last 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, the Red Sox and their foes are 4-6 when it comes to hitting the over.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Rodriguez (11-8) gets the starting nod for the Red Sox in his 31st start of the season. He has a 4.93 ERA in 151 2/3 innings pitched, with 178 strikeouts.
  • His last time out was on Sunday against the Yankees, when the lefty threw five innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing six hits.
  • Rodríguez’s team has won 18 of his 30 starts.
  • Rodríguez has had 30 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and 14 of those games hit the over.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Kyle Schwarber 110 .267 .370 .559 32 71 104
José Iglesias 19 .339 .393 .500 1 7 19
Rafael Devers 153 .278 .353 .530 35 110 160
Travis Shaw 22 .237 .326 .553 3 10 9
J.D. Martínez 145 .285 .347 .520 28 99 160
BestOdds rating 9.4
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Nationals Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have won 31 of the 101 games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (30.7%).
  • Washington has played in 158 games with over/under set, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 74 times (74-79-5).
  • The Nationals score the 15th-most runs in baseball (714 total, 4.5 per game).
  • Washington has a 4-5 record across the nine games it was moneyline underdogs in its last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings — all of which had a set run total — the Nationals and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Rogers (2-1) gets the starting nod for the Nationals in his sixth start of the season. He has a 2.73 ERA in 29 2/3 innings pitched, with 19 strikeouts.
  • In his most recent appearance on Sunday against the Reds, the left-hander tossed 4 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
  • Rogers’ team is 2-3 over his five starts.
  • Rogers has had five starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and two of those games finished over the total.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 148 .318 .467 .543 29 94 157
Lane Thomas 41 .285 .377 .515 7 27 47
Josh Bell 141 .256 .341 .473 27 88 125
Ryan Zimmerman 107 .244 .282 .472 14 45 61
Riley Adams 41 .224 .361 .388 2 10 22

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