Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: ALDS Game 3 Best Odds and Preview for October 10, 2021


By Claudio Fortuna | October 9, 2021, 11:46 am

Brandon Lowe will try to hit his 40th homer of the season when his Tampa Bay Rays (100-62) visit the Boston Red Sox (92-70) at Fenway Park on Sunday, beginning at 4:07 PM ET. Lowe’s Red Sox are underdogs (+105) in the outing against the Red Sox (-125).

Boston is projected to start Nathan Eovaldi, while Tampa Bay has not named a starter.

Best Odds for Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays.

Red Sox Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have been victorous in 64, or 59.8%, of the 107 contests they have been chosen as favorites in this season.
  • Boston’s games have gone over the total in 73 of their 162 opportunities.
  • The Red Sox are among the highest scoring teams in the league, ranking fifth with 829 total runs this season.
  • In nine games as the favorite over the last 10 matchups, Boston has a record of 5-4.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by oddsmakers, the Red Sox and their foes are 3-7 when it comes to hitting the over.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Red Sox are sending Eovaldi (11-9) out to make his 33rd start of the season. He is 11-9 with a 3.75 ERA and 195 strikeouts in 182 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Wednesday against the Yankees, the right-hander went 5 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run while surrendering four hits.
  • Eovaldi’s team has won 19 of his 32 starts.
  • Eovaldi’s starts went over the run total 16 times in 32 games with a set total this season.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Kyle Schwarber 113 .266 .374 .554 32 71 106
Rafael Devers 156 .281 .354 .541 38 115 166
J.D. Martínez 148 .284 .348 .516 28 99 162
Xander Bogaerts 144 .295 .370 .493 23 79 156
Travis Shaw 25 .238 .319 .524 3 11 10
BestOdds rating 9.4
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Rays Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Rays have won 32 of the 57 games they were listed as the moneyline underdog this season (56.1%).
  • Tampa Bay has combined with opponents to go over the total 81 times this season for an 81-71-8 record against the over/under.
  • The Rays score the second-most runs in baseball (857 total, 5.3 per game).
  • Tampa Bay was the moneyline underdog for six of its last 10 games, and finished 3-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Rays combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total two times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Nelson Cruz 85 .294 .370 .537 19 50 87
Brandon Lowe 149 .247 .340 .523 39 99 132
Mike Zunino 105 .216 .301 .559 33 62 72
Randy Arozarena 141 .274 .356 .459 20 69 145
Wander Franco 70 .288 .347 .463 7 39 81

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