Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: Best Odds and Preview for August 26, 2021


By BestOdds Analyst | August 25, 2021, 7:14 pm

Both the Boston Red Sox (72-55) and the Minnesota Twins (54-71) will look for another strong showing from sluggers on a hot streak when the teams square off on Thursday at 7:10 PM ET at Fenway Park. Travis Shaw is currently on a two-game home run streak for the favored Red Sox (-320), and Jorge Polanco has also hit home runs in two games in a row for the underdog Twins (+250).

Boston’s Chris Sale starts against Minnesota’s John Gant.

Best Odds for Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins

Welcome to the BestOdds’ betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances to win the upcoming game.

Today, we are looking at the MLB matchup between the Boston Red Sox and Minnesota Twins in which the Red Sox are currently the clear pick among bettors at regulated sportsbooks to claim victory.

Red Sox vs Twins Moneyline Action

Red Sox vs Twins Moneyline Action
  Red Sox Twins
% of Bets 96% 4%
% of Stake 99% 1%

Red Sox Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have been chosen as favorites in 80 games this year and have walked away with the win 47 times (58.8%) in those games.
  • Boston and their opponents have hit the over in 56 of their 127 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Red Sox have scored the fifth-most runs in the league this season with 637.
  • Boston has played as the favorite in seven of its past 10 games and has gone 6-1 in those contests.
  • In their previous 10 matchups with a total posted by sportsbooks, the Red Sox and their opponents are 4-6 when it comes to hitting the over.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • Sale (2-0) pitches first for the Red Sox to make his third start this season.
  • His last time out was on Friday against the Rangers, when the lefty tossed five scoreless innings while allowing five hits.
  • His team won both of the games he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Sale’s two starts with a total this season finished 1-1 against the total.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Travis Shaw 4 .250 .333 1.000 2 5 2
Kyle Schwarber 80 .260 .354 .563 25 53 75
Rafael Devers 121 .279 .347 .553 29 93 126
Xander Bogaerts 118 .302 .368 .513 20 69 132
J.D. Martínez 117 .284 .345 .523 23 79 128
BestOdds rating 9.4
Risk Free Bet Up To $5,000
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Twins Insights

Betting Trends

  • The Twins have been the moneyline underdog 55 total times this season. They’ve gone 22-33 in those games.
  • Minnesota has played in 124 games with over/under set, and has combined with opponents to go over the total 73 times (73-46-5).
  • The Twins have the No. 13 offense in MLB action scoring 4.6 runs per game (577 total runs).
  • Minnesota was the moneyline underdog for six of its last 10 games, and went 1-5 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total seven times.

Probable Starting Pitcher Stats

  • The Twins will look to Gant (0-1) to open the game and make his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander last appeared on Thursday against the Yankees, when he tossed 3 1/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up three hits.
  • His team has lost the only game he’s made an appearance in this season.
  • Gant’s lone start with a total this season went over.

Key Players

Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Mitch Garver 61 .242 .352 .527 13 29 44
Jorge Polanco 116 .274 .334 .491 23 74 124
Josh Donaldson 98 .248 .346 .462 18 52 81
Luis Arraez 88 .311 .376 .401 2 31 97
Miguel Sanó 99 .217 .306 .455 21 56 74

Pick for Red Sox vs. Twins

Bet split data from regulated betting sites combined with an in-depth statistical analysis favors the Red Sox to win over the Twins.

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