Baylor vs. Kansas State Betting Odds & Game Analysis | College Football Week 12 Predictions

By Dan Watson | November 15, 2021, 2:41 am

The No. 11 Baylor Bears (8-2, 0-0 Big 12), with the country’s 25th-ranked rush defense, meet the Kansas State Wildcats (7-3, 0-0 Big 12) and their 19th-ranked rushing D on Saturday, November 20, 2021. The Bears are just 1.5-point favorites. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 50.5.

Welcome to the BestOdds betting breakdown where we use data from our industry leading partner, Sportradar, to identify performance trends in order to analyze teams’ chances in the upcoming game.

Baylor stats and betting info

Betting trends for Baylor

  • Baylor’s ATS record is 7-3-0 this season.
  • In games they have played as at least 1.5-point favorites this season, the Bears are 5-2 against the spread.
  • Six of Baylor’s 10 games with a set total have hit the over (60%).
  • Seven Baylor games this season have gone over Saturday’s total of 50.5 points.
  • This season, the average total for Bears games is 52.8 points, 2.3 more than the over/under of 50.5 points for this contest.
  • The Bears rack up 453.0 yards per game, 112.2 more yards than the 340.8 the Wildcats allow per contest.
  • When Baylor amasses more than 340.8 yards, the team is 7-1.
  • The Bears have turned the ball over 11 times this season, two fewer than the Wildcats have forced (13).
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 219.3 (2193) 76
Rush yards 233.7 (2337) 5
Points scored 35.4 (354) 20
Pass yards against 232.2 (2322) 67
Rush yards against 122.7 (1227) 25
Points allowed 19.9 (199) 20

Key players for Baylor

  • Gerry Bohanon has 2,121 passing yards (212.1 ypg) to lead Baylor, completing 64.4% of his passes and recording 16 touchdown passes and six interceptions this season. He’s also helped out on the ground with 283 rushing yards (28.3 ypg) on 62 carries with nine rushing touchdowns.
  • The team’s top rusher, Abram Smith, has carried the ball 163 times for 1,171 yards (117.1 per game), with 11 touchdowns this year.
  • Tyquan Thornton’s team-high 763 receiving yards (76.3 yards per game) have come on 46 receptions with eight touchdowns.
BestOdds rating 9.5
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Kansas State stats and betting info

Betting trends for Kansas State

  • Kansas State has a 6-3-1 record against the spread this year.
  • The Wildcats are 2-2 against the spread when an underdog by 1.5 points or more this season.
  • Kansas State games have hit the over in five out of 10 opportunities (50%).
  • In Kansas State’s 10 games this season, six have finished with more combined scoring than Saturday’s point total of 50.5.
  • A difference of 2.7 points separates the average total points bet in Wildcats’ games (53.2 points) and this contest’s over/under (50.5 points).
  • The Wildcats rack up only 15.8 more yards per game (370.7) than the Bears give up per outing (354.9).
  • In games that Kansas State totals more than 354.9 yards, the team is 5-1.
  • The Wildcats have 12 giveaways this season, while the Bears have 16 takeaways .
Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 210.2 (2102) 89
Rush yards 160.5 (1605) 70
Points scored 28.9 (289) 61
Pass yards against 227.5 (2275) 60
Rush yards against 113.3 (1133) 19
Points allowed 21.1 (211) 28

Key players for Kansas State

  • Skylar Thompson has 1,686 passing yards (168.6 ypg) to lead Kansas State, completing 71.6% of his passes and recording nine touchdown passes and four interceptions this season.
  • The team’s top rusher, Deuce Vaughn, has carried the ball 179 times for 975 yards (97.5 per game), with 13 touchdowns this year. He’s proven to be a dual threat, hauling in 417 receiving yards (41.7 per game) on 39 catches with three receiving touchdowns.
  • Phillip Brooks’ team-high 422 receiving yards (42.2 yards per game) have come on 32 receptions with two touchdowns.

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